* Posts by EricM

226 publicly visible posts • joined 2 Sep 2016

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Tech titans assemble to decide which jobs AI should cut first

EricM
Alert

Suggestion: Replace Management at Boeing by an AI

OK, that's probably too easy as a real test ...

Third time is almost the charm for SpaceX's Starship

EricM
Thumb Up

> Once it started hitting the atmosphere its disassembling accelerated very rapidly.

Not really.

At first it managed to maintain intended attitude (tiles-protected belly first) well into the altitude where plasma builds up.

You could see the fin on one side moving to maintain that attitude (which seemed to work pretty well at first).

Then Starship rolled out of control, the fin basically folded up and stopped moving(would have been interesting to see what happened on the other fin at that moment)

The craft then rotated the tiles sideways, exposing unprotected skin to the plasma, then reoriented to an engine-first reentry.

Then transmission stopped.

Overall absolutely fascinating.

A big Thumbs Up to the SpaceX team.

Microsoft Copilot for Security prepares for April liftoff

EricM

s/overcome/add to/g

Mathematically speaking, I think you got the sign wrong :D

EricM

This title just gave me an acute case of cognitive dissonace

The only thing even weirder than trying to build security on complex and notoriously hard to manage Microsoft tools like Windows, AD, Outlook, Azure and Exchange would be to cut loose AI to "help" manage that mess.

Generally: You don't fix complexity by throwing more complexity at it. AI or not.

Trying to fix security with inconsistently and in some cases unpredictably performing AI is not even trying to sell the usual Snake Oil - that's more like suggesting to fill your fire extinguisher with gasoline...

Finally, Microsoft being unable to keep and then drive Intruders completely out of their own systems does not seem to be an especially good marketing pitch for this service.

https://www.theregister.com/2024/03/08/microsoft_confirms_russian_spies_stole/

Trump 'tried to sell Truth Social to Musk' as SPAC deal stalled

EricM

Re: Trump isn't planning to invade Russia in winter

> I have to say, I'm very curious to find out what would happen if a former US President were convicted of a felony and sentenced to time in prison.

He obviously plans to be president again at that point, so he can pardon himself.

Climate change means beer made from sewer water, says North Carolina brewery

EricM
Happy

But maybe coalrunner driving rednecks?

_This_ news could finally be the cause for even this part of the general population care about climate change :D

Copilot pane as annoying as Clippy may pop up in Windows 11

EricM
Stop

AI-enabled? I'd call that AI-infested...

In not only Coplot lurking in Windows, but in just about any of the current me-too wannabe "AI" peddlers trying to ride the hype...

YouTube workers laid off mid-plea at city hall meeting

EricM

Re: These were CONTRACTORS on the Day their Contracts Expired.

As I understand the piece, they were regular Cognizant employees.

So while Google dealt with "contractors" from Cognizant, they in fact were regualr employees there.

So they should have got standard sick/vacation pay from Cognizant, notice period, etc.

Microsoft trying to stop Copilot generating fake Putin comments on Navalny's death

EricM

Statistics at work ...

> It claimed that US president Joe Biden held Putin responsible for Nalvalny's death, and that, in response, Putin called the accusations "baseless and politically motivated."

> Putin has not made a public statement about Navalny’s death.

Similar to DS9999's argument:

The point is: US President accuses Putin of XXX and Putin calling the accusations "baseless and politically motivated." is such a strong statistical signal in all training data, that the "AI" assumes this to be true also in this specific case.

Which again shows that LLM's are not about rational understanding or facts, but about statistical relationships between words.

Lender threatens to sweep MariaDB accounts over private equity bid

EricM

IANAL and all, but this having to do with the now corrected value sounds most plausible.

Lending 26M$ to a company expected to be worth 600-something M$ might seem like a relatively low risk.

Lending 26M$ to a company now shown to be worth only 36M$ as per the offer basically means the company is worth 10M$ plus the money you gave them.

I can see why, as a lender, you'd call debt of 2,6 x actual value a "default" ...

Italy's military mulling space-based supercomputing cloud

EricM

Why?

I'm pretty sure that can be done, the specs are low enough to be mobile - but I don't get the point _why_ one should attempt it.

A radiation-rich, unservicable environment is still hard to design for, so having comms equipment in space and computing/storage on the ground is the established norm.

What is the actual benefit of also moving compute and storage into space?

European Court of Human Rights declares backdoored encryption is illegal

EricM

Re: I find it astonishing that this spectacularly bad idea keeps showing up.

Easy.

Simple sounding but stupid ideas appeal to people working in governments the same way as they appeal to the general population voting for the strong but stupid guy touting thge easy path forward...

Alaska Airlines' door-dropping flight was missing bolts

EricM

Re: it's beyond my capacity to understand these complex business/financial topics.

Don't worry. This just means you still have a well-working brain.

IBM pitches bite-sized $135k LinuxONE box for smaller biz types

EricM
Stop

Re: run all your server needs one on server

That one is simple: Don't.

You will only be able to meet your Failover and D/R spec with one server, if your requirment is: "I don't care"

EricM

Re: Savings modes

> Fewer software licences mainly, as there are vastly fewer cores

Fewer cores means less processing power.

One can also get X64 servers with less cores.

Or are you trying to claim her, that one core in this box is as powerful as 8-12 X64 cores?

> Also less power usage and other environmentals,

Citation needed ...

> And finally, fewer admin costs,

Citation urgently needed. Maintanance&Admin cost for specialized hardware typically comes at a premium over bread-and-butter X64 gear.

EricM

By not paying IBM?

Just an idea ...

EricM
WTF?

1TB, 16 cores, 135k$? for SMB's ???

maybe Quantum-something, "AI" and the attached fine collection of Snake-Oils explain this price tag.

From the link :

IBM LinuxONE 4 is the latest iteration of IBM LinuxONE enterprise servers with on-chip AI inferencing and industry-first quantum-safe technologies.

Clicking on "quantum-safe" lands you on a full pool of snake oil :

- IBM Quantum Safe Explorer

- IBM Quantum Safe Advisor

- IBM Quantum Safe Remediator

Can run anything every other Linux server can run, too. Just much more expensive...

You could have heard a pin drop: Virgin Galactic reports itself to the FAA

EricM

Hey, Boeing, that's the way flight safety risks should be handled.

Instead of putting pressure on staff and FAA inspectors ...

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/faa-boeing-safety-concerns-engineers-supervisor-pressure/

AI models just love escalating conflict to all-out nuclear war

EricM
Devil

FOX to blame?

Sounds more like they trained their model off of OAN and FOX News comment sections ...

Competition is decreasing in enterprise IT – and you’ll be poorer and dumber for it

EricM

on-prem or cloud is not the question ... complexity is

> It's only a shrinking market until customers realise they might be better off on-prem.

The enormous complexity and high cost caused by running and maintaining complex setups of traditional enterprise software on-prem were what led most customers to start investigating cloud in the first place. Cloud was cheap for a while, so instead of getting complexity and volume under control on-prem, the exiting hairball of code was thrown into the cloud.

Today, there is no longer a cheap and secure platform to run a lot of complex stuff, so customers IMHO need to do it it the hard way this time:

Start getting it (more) simple again, reduce the number of activce software components. Reduce complexity. Reduce use of traditional "Enterprise" catch-all software that often lump dozens of separate tools together to create more complexity than they solve.

From there deploy a lower number of potentially simpler components either on-prem or in cloud (probably a mix will be optimal) of what you really need.

Mars Helicopter Ingenuity will fly no more, but is still standing upright

EricM

Hats off to the Ingenuity team at JPL and NASA

for building and flying a wildly successfull experimental aircraft and for achieving 1st flight on another celestial body.

And hats off to JPL and NASA as organizations for daring to undertake this experiment despite the probably not too positive risk assessment.

Psst … wanna jailbreak ChatGPT? Thousands of malicious prompts for sale

EricM

AI != Human

Maybe I missed the irony tags in your post, however .,..

This is a failure of thought many persons make while judging AI behavior.

There is nothing human, there is nothing like rational thought or understanding in AIs.

There is instead some pretty clever code and a lot of data, mostly trained statistics, which generate outputs from inputs.

If you ask a person to repeat a word over and over, it will not start telling you stories from its years at school.

Some AIs start spilling their training data.

https://www.theregister.com/2023/12/01/chatgpt_poetry_ai/

The failure modes or the way to mislead a person vs. AI into doing something unexpected/stupid/dangerous are completely different between humans and AIs .

Answers given by LLMs do seem to be pretty sharp at times.

This is an illusion.

Tech world won't have long to fall in line when EU signs off on AI Act

EricM

No clear definition of AI?

Searching through the text at https://docs.google.com/document/d/1k0vNLaU__btQrN1AREEnUo5LANJGiSPw/edit?pli=1

It contains quite a few times "Artifical Intellligence" and over 1000 times "AI system", however, I was not able to find a clear definition of those terms.

AI today (even if you exclude marketing-only usage) is summarizing multiple quite different technologies that have large overlaps with Big Data, Statistics and Analytics.

So this proposed legislation without a clear definition of what it really tries to regulate and what not could become an ongoing legal risk for companies working in technologies that might be considered AI-related by technical laymen ( e.g. judges) who need to rule necessarily without a clear understanding of technology just based on this text.

Now OpenAI CEO Sam Altman wants billions for AI chip fabs

EricM

Re: Optimize worldwide chip production for running overhyped statistics?

For both your posts above: I see a sequence of words that do not seem to form a coherent thought or argument.

Have these just been generated by an AI-type process, maybe without sufficient training related to the actual subject at hand?

EricM

Re: Optimize worldwide chip production for running overhyped statistics?

> “consistently reproducible correct output” is a ridiculously high bar.

It is not for traditional, deterministic von Neumann architectures.

> You know what would be worth billions of dollars a year in itself? An LLM that could perform code-review at decent accuracy rates; not perfect, just decent. Spot the standard top 10 coding errors, plus top 10 “best practice style” issues, finding 90% of those actually existing on released production codebases. Just that.

No it won't. This kind of tools have been available for years now - completely free of any "AI"...

https://owasp.org/www-community/Source_Code_Analysis_Tools

We can agree, however, that humans are the creative but inconsistent, hard to become correct part of the human-tech interaction, that needs processes and tools and reviews and whatnot to get things right overall.

But how does combining inconsistently performing humans with inconstently performing AI solve any problem then?

EricM
Stop

Optimize worldwide chip production for running overhyped statistics?

OK, they tell you to "think big", but ...

AI as practiced today in the form of ML and LLMs is still (admittedly a bit oversimplified) statistics on stereoids.

While these technologies often seem to turn out impressive results at first sight in a number of applications, the missing details and intermediate complete fails caused by "hallucinations" and complete lack of any process resembling real understanding generate even more impressive "results".

Call me old-fashioned but having a working solution that turns out consistently reproducible correct output still has to be demonstrated to be achievable (let alone being achieved) by the curent AI approach.

So it might still be a bit too early to optimize our chip production capacity large-scale towards the kind of hardware only usable by this specific branch of technology.

Road to Removal: A blueprint for yanking billions of tons of CO2 out of our atmosphere

EricM

Re: That's some weapons grade disinformation...

Your single argument seems to be that warming is/was slowing down - which the theory does not explain, so the theory must be wrong.

If so, this is not correct.

Once you look at air/ocean/soil as a combined system of energy storage and average out natural oscillations, the long-term trend is unbroken.

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/climate-qa/why-did-earths-surface-temperature-stop-rising-past-decade (from 2013, so this is hardly news)

The theory of rising CO2 trapping more heat on earth still stands.

It is actually pretty simple and CO2 could be shown to absorb/reflect infrared radiation in a simple lab setting - already in 1859 by John Tyndall.

For everyone willing to trust his own eyes and own brain.

Who are _you_ calling a cultist?

EricM

That's some weapons grade disinformation...

> There are of the order of a million million tons of CO2 in the atmosphere. Sounds a lot, but is trivial by planetary standards.

120ppm sounds tiny, but the rise from 280 to 400ppm already gives us a hard time

> Natural events have in the past meant that sometimes there is a lot more, sometimes a lot less.

Yeah and sometimes sea level was hundreds of meters higher or lower than today.

> The first major failing of this article is that it fails to discuss those natural processes.

happening typically over the course of millions of years, not just 150.

> The second major failing of this article is that it fails to discuss the oceans. There is a thousand times as much CO2 in the oceans, dissolved or as carbonates, than there is in the atmosphere. If we did somehow withdraw 1.0E9 tons of CO2 from the atmosphere, .99E9 tons would be released from the oceans to restore equilibrium.

Actually no.

Currently the raised CO2 in the atmosphere is "venting" into the oceans, seeking a new equlibrium, and leading to more acidification there.

> What are those 'natural processes' I mentioned? I suggest emission from the junctions of tectonic plates, as CO2 is expelled from subducted carbonate rocks. Expelled into the ocean, where we do not directly see it, but still dwarfing any man-made emissions.

Again those processes exist, but are actually pretty slow.

The raise in CO2 since 1850 can be attributed to men burning coal and oil. Volcanos etc. are little blips in the human-made longterm trend upwards.

> It is time to stop the hot air about CO2, and to start preparing ourselves for an inevitable further rise in sea level to a geological long term normality.

It's time to stop listening to distractors, it's time to stop companies that enable and pay distractors - like you.

EricM

wish you were right ...

> > Once the amount of biomass stabilizes

> That never happens.

> Many habitats are anoxic because of bacteria proliferation and therefore C can't bind with O.

Where are large anoxic habitats where we actually try to grow forests for the purpose of capturing CO2?

The big carboniferous coal deposits were built up under very specific circumstances during a relatively short period of time 300-350My ago, when large flooded continental shelfs provided the aneroxic environment that preserved dead wood from oxidizing back to CO2 under Water long enough that it could be covered by mud and sand to become trapped an anaerobic environment.

This is basically the same process that manages to preserve wooden ship wrecks for hundreds or thousands of years.

If what you assume (forests somehow continually store more and more un-oxidized C without growing in biomass) would be true, we would be able to find coal (and oil) deposits from all ages all over the planet and not only in very few places all from one specific period of time, where conditions "just were right" for coal/oil to form.

> then ends up in the huge amount of dissolved ocean organic matter and eventually accumulates in deep sea sediments.

> Same applies to carbon sequestrated as CaCO3 from biological origin

These are 2 examples of a real long-term CO2 sinks - but a completely different process from growing forests as CO2 sinks.

> Combustion is never complete. That's why burnt forest sites are black.

Maybe, but the dead, not completely burned, wood then also decays to CO2 like alll other dead wood amid fresh air and water.

A new forest will eventually grow, capturing back the CO2 released in the fire, but this will again take ~ 50 years.

> So, that story of "stabilisation" of biological carbon sinks is a fallacy.

I'd wish you were right, because then CO2 capture would be a lot easier.

But this is only wishful thinking.

EricM

Re: forests are great CO2 sinks

They are sinks, yes, up to a point while the forest grows.

Once the amount of biomass stabilizes (tree growth volume equals tree death), so does it's bound CO2 volume.

Plus, this balance is only stable while the forest is healthy.

Once weather shifts it may become too dry or too wet to sustain the chosen species of trees at a given location.

Pests or droughts can weaken the forest, kill trees, free the bound CO2.

Forest fires can free _all_ CO2 that has been bound in several decades in a few hours/days.

So yes, a growing, healthy forest is a sink.

I would not qualify it as "great" because of its long-term fragility.

SpaceX snaps back at US labor board's complaint, calling it 'unconstitutional'

EricM

Re: Administrative State

No law is perfect.

And yes, it can be complex to interpret.

And yes, it may codify things you do not support/accept.

However, that does not make the law or the agencies that enforce it unconstitutional.

Neither does that allow a private company to ignore the law.

And I assume that no one else at SpaceX but Musk really thinks this suit is a bright idea - even if no one might dare to voice that concern out of fear of being fired, too.

With this case SpaceX starts to feel the effects of Musk's detoriating leadership, which may well damage SpaceX reputation and business.

After all those guys demanding separation between SpaceX and Musk had a very valid point...

Google's Project Ellman: Merging photo and search data to create digital twin chatbot

EricM

Creepy as hell... a public test?

Maybe they just test public reactions to learn what they might get away with in near future and what pushback to expect from where...

That call center tech scammer could be a human trafficking victim

EricM

Telcos have no incentive to do the decent thing? Then let's regulate them.

Wiping out or at least limiting the variablity of fake caller IDs should be a manageable task.

Always displaying a correct country code for example already would help a lot.

My parents are both in their 80s and get harassed by those kind of calls multiple times a week from fake, presumably local numbers.

Blocking numbers (basically the only available defense mechanism on fixed lines) is meaningless, as long as attackers are able to switch country/region/number with ease.

Worse: Baisically telcos are acting as a partner in crime here. They earn money by carrying those fake calls.

So they are not only not incentivized to stop this abuse - au contraire - the even profit from it.

Looks like an regulation issue to me... which would finally result also in less human trafficking and abductions.

There does not seem to be a downside besides less profits for Telcos.

Polish train maker denies claims its software bricked rolling stock maintained by competitor

EricM
Facepalm

Hackers entering GPS coordinates of OEM repair shops to prevent trains from failing?

Yes, sounds completely plausible....

Mere minority of orgs put GenAI in production after year of hype

EricM

Re: AI is given extreme lip service in 2023, but where are real applications of it?

_very_ good link. Thank you.

EricM

Re: Shiny shiny

> What they have all failed to realise is that the data feeding this monster is what makes GenAI good - or bad.

True. I think that is one of the more common misunderstandings in the current hype.

If your business problem can not be described in the form of of detecting weak statistical dependencies (or lack thereof) in very large data sets, then the current GenAI approach will probably not lead to a useful solutions for your business. Which is true for I guess 99% of companies...

EricM

AI is given extreme lip service in 2023, but where are real applications of it?

Nearly every new version of old IT products nowadays presumably contains "AI" capabilities in some form.

SAP, Excel, Fortinet, Cisco, etc.

However, if you look closer at the so-called AI capabilities, they usually do resemble closely what was advertised in the last years as simply automation of some kind, "integrated analytics", "big data", "data fabric" or any of the "smart"-somethings of the late 2010s.

The seemlingly unstoppable trend of AI-in-everything does often seem to result from a marketing department in full overdrive mode, while credibility of claims is built by some interesting and often impressive simulation of text-comprehension by publicly available LLMs - which are still just applied statistics on steroids...

Contrary to what the companies above (and many others) claim - I still need to see an "AI" implementation in older products that does not just result in a more or less useful text generator, that manages to summarize things it read "on the internet" sometimes correctly.

Elon Musk's xAI wants $1B cash infusion in exchange for equity shares

EricM

A non-woke AI bot - this does not sound like a return to sober decision making ...

On one hand it should meanwhile be obvious to any investor that his intensifying god-complex, FU-attitude and right-wing conspiracy tendencies can no longer be ignored.

All of those pose a clear danger to anyone who plans to actually earn money by giving some of theirs to Mr Musk.

So it will become interesting to observe if Mr. Musk's ongoing harsh treatment of investors/victims of his X/Twitter personal blog will result in enough people thininking hard about this proposal for his personal "non-woke" AI bot.

On the other hand - as the article seems to indicate - investment decisions driven by greed and rational reasoning usually do not seem to be tightly coupled. Or coupled at all.

Everyone being hurt by this investment should have known better.

I'm out of this and prefer to invest in popcorn...

Cisco intros AI to find firewall flaws, warns this sort of thing can't be free

EricM

AI will change the infosec landscape - I bet

Networked products that employ AI in the wild not only introduce a new set of classic attack vectors, now even completely new anti-AI methodologies might be developed.

Wonder what hallucinating AIs may effect in security appliances. Will be interesting to find out.

Half a century ago, NASA's Pioneer 10 visited Jupiter, then just kept going

EricM

Re: @Reg thx!

Agree.

And with regard to your link: 658 pages of pure tech RTFM ... much appreciated :)

Plus, I just noticed somewhat unexpectedly that I seem to miss the times when new, complex products came with several kg of manuals ...

No new top boss at NSA until it answers questions about buying up location, browsing data

EricM

Call for control of personal information market

Very much this.

And then replace "location harvesting" with "information harvesting about citizens" in general.

The amount of unclear and often low-quality data (guess-work) about private citizens being sold as "verified information "commercially is staggering in some countries.

Each bit of it - true or false - can hurt you by limiting your effective ability to get/keep a job, get affordable housing, get afforable loans, etc. without you ever knowing why you did not get a specific job or an apartement you inteded to rent or why you are just the one allways getting the most expensive loan offers from banks.

What is true for the CIA (executing kills based on obtained metadata) is also true for commercially entites buying this data: business decision, often automated, are made based on purchased matadata.

Metdata in both cases cannot be controlled/verified/corrected by the victim of the decisions that are based on such data/information.

And in both cases the user of this information will not even confirm/deny what information payed a role in decision making.

Worse: The information harvesters can disseminate low quality or even wrong information about you without any control, verification or consequences.

Personal Information is in many countries a very big market without any controls or safeguards.

EricM

Re: Both sides of the call

You seem to imply NSA wiretapping to take place on american soil only, which is not the case.

Wiretapping takes place in exchanges throughout the world: UK, Australia, Germany, Pakistan, etc.

So this law makes it legal for the NSA to e.g. record a call between London and Berlin by 2 non-US nationals.

With all eyes on OpenAI, Meta drags its Responsible AI team to the recycle bin

EricM

Re: Meta continues to be Meta

Straight from the rulebook of arms traffickers and drug dealers: Ethics and business don't mix.

What's really going on with Chrome's June crackdown on extensions – and why your ad blocker may or may not work

EricM

Re: This, coupled with YouTube's recent blitz

Maybe it's me, but I haven't stumbled across a web page not working with FF since the late days of the first browser wars, when some sites were deliberately hardcoded for IE...

IBM pauses advertising on X after ads show up next to antisemitic content

EricM

Surprised? Really?

I understood the opportunity to ram your adverts specifically into the eyeballs of right-wing nuts, whose opinions are "cancelled" in the rest of the "woke" media to be Musk's actual business plan for TwiX.

So why acts anyone surprised when adverts on this platform are shown next to hate and antisemitism? That's simply what the designated target audience consumes most.

This is just how this dark twin of Twitter is designed to operate nowadays.

Don't like your ads next to hate? Don't advertise on TwiX...

X fails to remove hate speech over Israel-Gaza conflict

EricM

I couldn't care less about Twitter, may he have fun taking it down.

SpaceX and Tesla on the other hand seem to be more worthy targets to save from his erratic and IMHO degrading leadership.

EricM

Agree. Musk behaves over the last years as if someone successfully planted the idea that "hate sells" would somehow work out commercially.

This is a style that wasn't obvious (at least to me) in Musk 10 years ago.

We know from his other ventures he is determined to follow what impulse tells him is the right way.

I just wonder how deep will he run TwiX into the ground until he re-evaluates this belief or digs out of the bubble he obviously has fallen into - and how dangerous he will become to the success of Tesla and SpaceX if he stays in his bubble.

May be him being pushed out of PayPal was a sign of things to come ...

Yeah, that oughta do the trick, Joe... Biden hopes to tackle AI safety with exec order

EricM

Re: exec order

> The sh1t has already hit the fan.

Not really.. wait a few months/years and AI impact and potential will probably get better, increasing the risk further.

However, given the non-linear and non-deterministic behavior of LLMs in general combined with a ever changing, fluid definition of "national security" , good luck with determining if any given system might pose such a risk.

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