* Posts by Voland's right hand

5759 publicly visible posts • joined 18 Aug 2011

Shocker: Cambridge Analytica scandal touch-paper Aleksandr Kogan tapped Twitter data too

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Meanwhile, geolocation is off by default, and the developer terms say:

Twitter's geolocation is by default, the geolocation of pictures posted on twitter usually is not.

So figuring out the location of the twitter poster is a matter of 3-4 lines in a high level language - just pull the pic and get it from the jpeg or video metadata.

Javid's in, Rudd's out: UK Home Sec quits over immigration targets scandal

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Re: Diversity in action ...

You need to check your facts. We import gas from all over, very littel from Russia. It's the rest of Europe that has a gas problem.

You need to check how European gas grid functions. As a result of the consent decrees on Gasprom concluding the resolution of the investigation of the European Union commission into its commercial practices gas in the grid no longer has a nationality.

While the decision was specifically geared towards Gasprom and its commercial practices which disallowed gas to be resold it applies to ALL grid contributors including France, Norway, Iran/Azeri and UK inclusive of its LNG imports.

So any time UK pulls a cubic meter from the grid there is no guarantee that it is in fact Norwegian, Azeri or in fact Russian. Similarly, if UK ever puts a cubic meter back into the grid (something not likely to happen), nobody asks if it is Qatari via the Welch LNG terminal, Norwegian or something the Scots have scrapped off the bottom of the barrel, err gas field.

Coming back to UK and Russian gas - if the Norwegian interconnects are having issues (as they had this winter) and UK is pulling gas from the Belgium or Holland gas interconnectors it may (and in fact probably is) Russian gas.

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Re: Diversity in action ...

I'll give him 6 months.

At the core is the previous Home Secretary policy, so this will change nothing.

That policy remains unchanged. On all counts - pervasive surveillance, encryption backdoors, removal of rights as we see fit and anything and everything applicable along the same lines.

NetHack to drop support for floppy disks, Amiga, 16-bit DOS and OS/2

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Re: Bastards

For added lulz, try one of the variants such as Slash'EM (Nethack on speed ... and insanely difficult at times)

That's what my older one is playing. I find it too difficult and stay with good old Nethack as shipped on Debian.

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The likely loss of the platforms and code mentioned above may not perturb many: Rouguelike games are a very niche concern these days.

Someone is not doing their duty of infecting the young ones.

Once infected, they stay infected. Till life prints out a tombstone in ASCII.

Jokes aside - as depth and breadth it remains The Game. One you can play for decades and still fail to win. My best achievement is getting up to the Astral plane and killing two of the 3 riders - the third one (Death) got me.

Windows 10 April 2018 Update lands today... ish

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Re: "Peer-to-peer patch distribution over the LAN"

This is more in the realm of "If you thought that you will prevent updates on this machine by firewalling it, you thought wrong".

Eurocrats double down on .eu Brexit boot-out

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Norms of the internet

Not only would killing off 300,000 domains (actually 318,482) go against the long-held norms of the internet,

Shall I provide with a reference about the mass domain murders after the dissolution of su and yu as well as the various mass domain graves dug by the registries succeeding countries? Or the various volte-face "we allow external"/"we do not allow external" which have at some time happened to half of the small registries around the Pacific like .cx?

There is a long history of similar incidents some of them even more idiotic than the .eu one.

Ozzie Ozzie Ozzie, oi oi oi! Tech zillionaire Ray's backdoor crypto for the Feds is Clipper chip v2

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Re: Why would Apple (or anyone else) want to be in the loop?

Take it one step further.. who will store and hold all those keys in a 100% safe and secure manner such that the keys can't fall into hands that have less than good intentions?

You can watch the result of that with Telegram. That is what Russian law stipulated and this is what Telegram ran afoul of.

The fallout there continues.

1. The first lawsuit against malicious damage by the local telecoms regulator has been filed and accepted. More to follow.

2. Their equivalent of facebook (VK) has openly declared that it will implement an end-to-end encrypted messaging for all of its 100M+ users and the regulator can go shove its demands into a location which is usually described as where sun does not shine.

What the proponents of these ideas fail to understand is that we live in different times. France, USSR could ban end users using encryption and enforce the ban because of the ratio of resources between state and violator. The state could swat the violator like a fly.

In this day and age that ratio for any reasonable size Internet company is reversed. From a network perspective all the large Internet companies possess MORE resources than a nation state. Some (as Telegram has shown), are not afraid to use them either.

Apple grounds AirPort once and for all. It has departed. Not gonna fly any more. The baggage is dropped off...

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There may be some good out of it

They are also terminating time capsule. This may mean that they will finally stop regularly breaking Time Machine versus third party NASes.

We wanted a camera, they gave us the eye of Gemini – and an eSIM

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Re: Fail

I am past my sysadmin days. If it was still doing that it would have been an immediate buy.

I may still buy it if I have to start dealing with field demos once again. You cannot set-up a network without something which has keyboard, screen, Ethernet and for the worst offenders - serial.

It should be capable of recognizing a USB-C Ethernet and/or Serial dongles when running its Debian personality which is "exactly what the doctor ordered" for that use case.

High Court gives UK.gov six months to make the Snooper's Charter lawful

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Re: So Plan B then?

That is a GDPR/Data Protection fail as it gives the basis to request a ruling on the lack of data protection equivalence.

One of the joys of dealing with a neighbour who is a 20Tn GDP Gorilla I am afraid. It is the Gorilla way or the highway.

Brit MPs brand Facebook a 'great vampire squid' out for cash

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Re: Not one to big up our Members of parliament

Yeah, and the end result is described very well in the Cook and the Cat fable.

The cook catches the cat in the act of stealing a large slice of ham. So he starts to chastise it - You bad kittie, aren't you ashamed of yourself, how can you steal, yaddah, yaddah, yaddah... And the cat while listening continues to eat regardless (А Васька слушает да ест - in the original).

ISO blocks NSA's latest IoT encryption systems amid murky tales of backdoors and bullying

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Um, Voland old chum, you do understand the difference between fiction and reality right?

I do. I also understand how close can be fiction to reality when it is about the fallout from BrExit, Transatlantic Partnership treaty and a few other things.

While the book is much weaker than the phenomenally brilliant Children of Time and nowhere as horrifying as Dogs of War, this is yet another place where Chaikovski's fiction is well rooted into the present. It is a possible future (and not a particularly far fetched one). Including the 1st Battalion of Ikea.

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Even the Milk Marketing Board fear them

I read THIS two days ago. You may change your mind after reading it.

It explicitly mentions the 1st Battalion of Ikea corps too. No, not a joke either.

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Re: Inconceivable

You forgot the sarcasm tags.

Windrush immigration papers scandal is a big fat GDPR fail for UK.gov

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Re: You're certainly not OK

If you were born in the UK between 1 January 1983 and 1 July 2006 then you can only be British if at least one parent was British and living in the UK.

Incorrect. Children of parents with permanent leave to remain from that period are also British citizens.

So, you will have to obtain your birth certificate and a parent's birth certificate and possibly your parent's marriage certificate.

One of the reasons why the paperwork for permanent leave to remain is still sitting in our house fire safe nearly two decades after the event. It is also paperwork which I KNOW the Home Office has destroyed. They were fully aware of the consequences as in its absence all children birth certificates as well as certificates of naturalization issued after that can be deemed invalid. "Creating Hostile Environment" for ILLEGAL ALL immigrants.

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Re: There is no data justification

I'm not so sure that's discriminatory.

The law and precedent is very clear on it - it is.

So it should be either:

1. The way it is in most of Europe where BOTH parents have to jointly apply for the child passport (unless there is a specific court decision giving one parent sole custody).

2. One parent should be entitled to apply and either one of the parents or guardians of the underage person should have absolutely identical rights regardless of do they have something dangling between their legs or not.

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You missed a word... "to make the country as hostile to ILLEGAL immigrants"

The best way to do so is to make sure that the LEGAL ones are OK.

It is the norm for LEGAL immigrants, families with legal immigrants and their first generation progeny to be on the right side of Attila the Hun on this question. The most hostile group towards ILLEGALS is the LEGALS. The fact that half of UKIP/Vote Leave top brass had an immigrant wife and some of the poster-children of anti-immigrant movement are immigrant's descendants is not a coincidence. It comes with the territory.

However, what the government did was an explicit act to make the LEGAL immigrants ILLEGAL overnight and disguise it as a data protection obligation. That is completely different from "hostile to ILLEGAL immigrants". It did it for people from Eu too - see my other post. At more or less the same time.

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I think it's reasonable to assume that after 60 years of being here legally that you'd have formalised that arrangement with an indefinite visa or a British passport and/or kept hold of the evidence of when you arrived.

Maybe. If the idea that you are here illegally ever crossed your mind.

For some people - it did not. Quite rightly too as they were here legally to start off with.

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There is no data justification

The justification is purely political, so stop looking at anything related to data in this one.

It was a dry run on "cleaning the country from undesirables" using a part of the population which is known to not have resources to put up a good fight. Most of the people affected were in the income bracket we associate with poverty and had no money to afford "lawyering up" for a fight with the Home Office.

The dry run was mostly successful too. They can now proceed to the real thing post-BrExit.

If you think I am joking ask any Eu cittizen who has successfully obtained dual nationality or right to remain before 2011 to do a subject request for his original paperwork from the Home Office. It has been destroyed deliberately the same was as Windrush papers. I understood that by pure chance when having a spat(*) with them regarding the son's passport last year.

Home Office Droid: "Oh, we no longer keep any original paperwork, it has all been shredded".

Me: "WHAAAAAAAAAAAT?"

(*)Spat was on an unrelated matter - they did not like the fact that I applied for his passport instead of his mother. I ended up having to threaten them with both a discrimination lawsuit and asking my MP to officially question them on discriminatory policies in the commons.

Russians poised to fire intercontinental ballistic missile... into space with Sentinel-3 sat on board

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Re: Launch partner?

He also claimed that the 95% pure stuff is “better for you” than the ultra pure Ethanol as it contains fewer impurities - strangely we never tested his claim!

He is right. Ethanol left "to its own devices" will absorb moisture from the air to ~ 95%. It is also impossible to purify ethanol beyond this by distillation. You hit 95% and that is where the story ends.

Ethanol with higher purity than that has been dried. Even if the drying method was "safe", the dried ethanol itself like most ultra dried volatile organics becomes vulnerable to some very nasty reactions with oxygen from the air, uv light, etc resulting in various peroxide impurities. Ethanol is nowhere near as bad as for example furan or ether - those may explode from build up of peroxide impurities in their ultra-dry form. While not "as bad" it is still bad. You really do not want to drink the sh*t which has been extra-dried, especially if has been left around for a while and god forbid exposed to sunlight while extra-dry - it is like licking agent orange.

That is why the bottles for the ultra-dried stuff are always made out of dark glass by the way.

I wasted a chunk of my MSc lab rat days distilling stuff. You could not do anything in the area I worked on without wasting half a week on getting enough distilled ethanol, acetonitrile, ether, etc. It was pretty useless by the beginning of next week so you had to start from the beginning once more.

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Re: Launch partner?

There were plenty of stories during the Cold War of Soviet troops drinking antifreeze which can contain alcohol.

Generally unnecessary for people serving in what is now Russia Space forces - missiles, National AA, Radar, etc.

All of these had allowance of alcohol issued for cleaning optics, contact surfaces and screens. There were plenty of attempts to switch to isopropanol for that, all of them unsuccessful. It did not "clean as well". Cough, cough, cough...

but the temperatures were so low, that the Soviets used 40% ethanol

I did not know the Proton story, but that puts the issues with the launches during that year into an interesting perspective. I am pretty sure none of that valuable commodity "went to waste".

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Re: Launch partner?

apparently the crews in the missile silos were in the habits of drinking all of the fuel.

The legendary Russian metabolism. Being able to drink DMH and hydrazine. Using gherkins pickles in fuming nitric acid as a side dish. Is it so difficult to spot bullshit for crying out loud? Ethanol is not used for rocket fuel. Its energy density is too low.

Most old models were liquid fuelled. In the event of Ww3 the launch readiness was under 5% because of that. More than sufficient to bequeath the earth to the cock roaches though.

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Re: Launch partner?

Surely the risk is lower and the cost not that much difference

The cost of moving a satellite from equatorial or near-equatorial orbit as launched from Guiana to a polar orbit can be quite substantial. The back-of-the-fag-packet math needed exceeds my orbital mechanics knowledge. I suspect that you may be looking at designing a new third stage just for that which in turn screws your reliability math outright.

Initially, when Russians declared that they will open Plesetsk for commercial launches 20 years ago everyone laughed - how are you going to launch to GST from that. That is no longer the case for observation satellite launches. Nobody is laughing. A lot of gear went up from there and is in constant use.

As far as Murdoch - I am happy to pitch in if someone crowdfunds that. Can we add Tony The Bliar and the Witch of the West for a ride too?

As far as empty launches, I think you underestimate the element of national pride involved. While loading Murdoch into a payload fairing is something they will definitely agree on, loading playmonauts even if we pay them double the rate - do not think so.

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Re: Launch partner?

So if various bits of the Russian kit are possibly a bit flaky and unreliable

1. Cheap

2. Obligations under various weapon or dual use platform disposal programmes. During the late 80-es Eu and USA signed a number of agreements with Gorbie. These agreements mandated that some of the old "world destruction" tech will be converted for civilian use and bought. For example all SS20 mobile launcher-erectors were converted to building site cranes.

We do not want to renege on this - the tech is already at disposal sites from where it tends to go walkies. An example here would be the same SS20 erector launchers converted into cranes. A number of them were not bought as promised so you can see them being driven past Kim Fat The Turd with Nork ICBMs on them.

Given a choice of completing the contracts as promised or them being bought as "cucumbers" by the Norks, it is probably better to live the Norks on a cucumber-free diet. In fact, everyone is pretending that none of the companies involved on the Russian side is under sanctions. Probably for the better too.

Power spike leads Chinese police to 600-machine mining rig

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Come on, this is not the Russian election.

For those who do not know - apparently nearly 60% of all contributions to the Navalny campaign were paid in BitCoin.

Give or take two years and it is coming here. At this point I would like to see how the Election commission will successfully enforce the "no foreign funds" limitation.

AMD CEO Su: We like GPU crypto-miners but gamers are first priority

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Can I see some b*** motherboards

So where do we buy all that stuff?

When I search for motherboards, especially mITX form factor I still have a choice of Intel, Intel or Intel with the Intel P.O.S. IGP graphics.

I would like to do a refresh around the house, however there is nothing to be bought - neither mITX boards, nor small "shuttle style" all in-ones you can bolt on to the back of a VESA monitor.

Nowdays - crickets...

So if they are actually ramping revenue where the hell it is coming from? It is definitely not the retail/component channel - that is nearly empty at present.

You say Halo and I say goodbye: Microsoft has a word with unauthorised mod devs

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Re: Release the game on Russian servers

You may be closer to the truth than you think.

The Russian proposal for counter-sanctions against USA includes a middle-finger to USA IPR within Russian territory as well as some level of indemnity measures to support companies which will build product based on said IPR if the sanctions are ever rescinded.

It was returned back to the committee stage in their parliament as not polished sufficiently. It is however, likely to pass within the next 1-2 months.

Blighty stuffs itself in Galileo airlock and dares Europe to pull the lever

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Re: OMG

NATO works because the Brit-Europeans are surrounded by 2 800lb Gorillas - the "good" Gorilla of the US and the "bad" Gorilla of the USSR*.

That describes the situation correctly from the days when Eu was in post-war ruins. This includes the post-fall of the wall period which in some Eastern European countries was actually worse than the post-WW2 recession.

Economically, the tables are now in a position where you have: 18.57Tn Gorilla, 20Tn Gorilla in the center and a 1.28 Tn Minnow. If we do the math for EEA, not Eu we are looking at even more - 24Tn+ gorilla. One _WITHOUT_ a drug, sorry debt addiction problem which has the economical power to create the military resources it needs and when it needs them.

By the way, Russia today is a very different beast from either USSR or its preceding Russian empire. Using the old USSR values in the equations yields the wrong results - they will _NOT_ react the same way USSR (or the Russian Empire for that matter) would have reacted under the same circumstances. That, however is a very different story and is offtopic for this discussion.

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Re: What planet are you on?

The planet of cake.

The one that is eaten while still being had and the whole show is being run by a Mad Hatter, March Hare and a Dormouse. Cake is consumed with tea without the cake ever being exhausted. +/- rotating the places around the table.

For more details on the actual coordinates of said planet ask Chess - he is on the tree over there. Smiling.

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the simplest solution to the EU refusing access to Galileo is to ask for a refund of the money we paid into the EU to fund it in the first place.

You can ask for a refund if your contract specifies a refund. There is no such concept in any of the agreements by any of the participating countries in the Gallileo program.

That is expected - the conditions for Gallileo are the same as a lot of international R&D or advanced tech programs. They are investment into technology and capability, not shopping for Prosecco in Waitrose.

If you decide to drop out mid-program that's it - you drop out. It is like dropping out of University - you cannot ask for a refund for the 3 years of tuition fees and dorm fees because you have decided to bugger off and wave your unruly disorganized hair around the world.

So, sorry, there is no cake. Err... refund.

It was eaten - the money has been used.

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"We are scoping the possibility of launching our own system."

Is this also budgeted for in the 300M per week?

Some of the sh*** we hear is now so far out, that one starts to wonder if Whitehall water supply has been contaminated with Bolivian marching powder.

Danish submariner sent down for life for murder of journalist Kim Wall

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Re: What to do?

It's all there in an to attempt to deliver justice,

I have a favourite quote. It is from one of the Serbs I used to work with. When Miloshevic kicked the bucket right before being convicted in the Haague he said:

"Bugger... They should have given him to us. We would have given him a fair trial and hanged him like a dog."

I am not in favor of the death penalty, but there are two cases where it should still apply - war crimes of all shapes and colors under any flags and extreme sociopathy which has led to murder. This gentleman is clearly in the second category.

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Why pollute one of the last pristine places on Earth. Just shove the whole sub as is into a smelter. With him inside.

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It may end up as life - he is subject to a mandatory psychiatrist eval prior to release. If those guys deem him a danger to the public he will simply move from a prison to a secure hospital at the end of his sentence. And stay there.

Recycling tech biz bosses get years for VAT fraud, money laundering

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Sometimes I am jelous of those in the 3rd world tech sector.

Don't be. I spent some time doing this 20+ years ago in Eastern Europe. Some of the sh*t that came down this route into my repair workshop was err... covered in sh*t. And other stuff. Courtesy of the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1997_Central_European_flood floods.

$50 add-on can turn your mobe into a less misanthropic House MD

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Re: Please say this is genuine..

The reagents definitely do no cost $5.

This only replaces the reader for field use.

You still need whatever antibodies are required for the particular test as well as all the other wonders you need for ELISA and friends.

You also still need someone knowing how to use a Gilson Pipetman and how to work samples.

The only relatively innovative bit is using the phone camera (devices like this using a USB module and/or the Pi camera are already in the field).

AWS DNS network hijack turns MyEtherWallet into ThievesEtherWallet

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Re: Internet Nightmares

Nothing shall be reported

Come on, liven up. Nobody said it was Russians. Using a Russian server means very little at a point where you can hack ISP routers and hijack successfully a range with Amazon's name servers from under Amazon's feet.

It goes to prove a perennial point - something those of us involved in various aspects of Internet architecture and peerings have been saying since the late 90-es. The current private peering system in the USA is criminal in its insecurity. There are no ACLs on the route announcements and if you are big enough to peer in the first place, you can announce any shit you like. That is very difficult to pull in Europe where everyone has 30k+ of ACLs generated from routing registry information to guard against that. In order to pull it in Europe you have to hack the RIPE routing registry first, pass all of its safeguards and leave a trail of evidence mile long and half a mile wide doing so.

The issue was further exasperated by the route53 architecture. It does not use traditional large scale Service Provider DNS resilience methods such as anycast so hacking the routing for one region is generally enough to take out any DNS services out of that region.

By the way, I am surprised that a hack at that level did not involve a stolen certificate to sign the web server. Lame.

Last but not least - to all those trying to pretend cyberattack and cyberdefence in the NATO exercise running at the moment. http://www.theregister.co.uk/2018/04/24/nato_locked_shields_2018_cyberwar_excercise/

Here is an example of what a proficient gang can do. Now extrapolate that to a nation state instead of running your joke scenarios about "intermittent messing with the grid".

US sanctions on Turkey for Russia purchases could ground Brit F-35s

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Re: @Voland

Wow. So you have a day job as well as writing on this forum

One has to entertain himself sometimes while stuff compiles or integration tests are being run.

Or distract himself while his brain is trying to figure out "why the f*** this piece of Gak which someone pretends to be network hardware refuses to initialize". There is stuff which human brain handles best in a background thread and you do not always have the time to "sleep on it". Sometimes, a good flame war is almost as good as "sleeping on it" in terms of figuring out things.

Different people do things differently you know.

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Re: Garbage in, garbage out

American bases in Turkey are ideally situated to strike east into Iran or south into Iraq or Syria and Lebanon,

If Turkey allows their use for the purpose. That is a very big IF.

It has been disallowed for Syria and Iraq for several years now.

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Re: "one less F35"

Home on Jam,

Really? With let's say 50+ air based and god knows how many ground based sources of ECM active within a few hundred square miles. All of them alternating between spread spectrum and whacking each other on "suspect radar frequencies" with intervals of silence thrown in?

According to the Indians.

Confirmed by the RAF actually with the rather lame excuse of: "They brought in their best pilots while we made sure that as many of possible of our rank and file benefit from the experience" (apologies if I am not quoting correctly). By the way, AFAIK similar exercises a few years back against the Turks flying F16s ended up with similar results.

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Did you read the bit in the article about Turkey being in a really handy position to bottle up most of the Russian Navy?

Bottling the Russian navy has always been a Red Herring even in the days when it had multiple Slava class cruisers (they are now spread thin - one per fleet), double digit numbers of missile boats and landing craft. It was definitely not the reason in 1952 when Turkey joined NATO as that was exactly the time when Stalin paid back Admiral Kusnetsov the "debt" of disobeying Stalin's orders on 22nd of June 1941. The payback was scrapping the entire fleet refurbishment program as well as any fleet offensive capability.

Turkey joined NATO In the early days as a forward base to bottle Hankala and the nuclear armed bomber fleet based there to keep it away from all UK and USA assets in the middle East. Remember - it was 1952 - when USA and UK had the perception that they actually own the place.

A secondary goal was to have someone bail out Greece if the Bulgarians go into "Maritsa river will run thick with blood" mode and decide that they want back their Mediterranean territories - the ones where Britain organised the ethnic cleansing after WW1. Ditto if Warsaw pact decides that it is a worthy goal to assist in.

Hankala is now a ruin, the Southern branch of the USSR Strategic bomber command is now non-existent and Bulgaria is a NATO member. So the actual real reasons for Turkey to be brought into NATO no longer exist. As far as the Black Sea fleet Red Herring, that is an even lesser reason now than in 1952.

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Re: "nd what's the problem with an ally (*) buying a potential adversary's kit?"

I suspect Russian export "crippling" is nowhere near as aggressive as in those days.

Actually for the S400 they are obliged to cripple it. They are definitely not allowed to sell some of the missiles for this system.

Under the standard conditions for missile technology control and non-proliferation which the Russians follow S400 is not export legal. The maximum range for a Surface to Surface missile under that is 300km and S400 exceeds that.

Every Russian AA missile system has "Ground override/Surface-Surface" mode which is actually effective enough to be used as an anti-ship missile. It is not just an AA missile.

Here is an example where a Russian corvette resorted to using AA missiles in ground-ground mode against adversary missile boats (they have declassified the logs from this incident now, so if you dig the Russian sources they are fairly clear on that).

So if we assume S400 to be same as every other Russian surface-air system, well it is not exportable under the MTCA.

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Re: "nd what's the problem with an ally (*) buying a potential adversary's kit?"

Most certainly not. You can be sure that the export versions won't be as capable as the Russian home forces versions (not to mention having some hidden capability to render the export version unusable or materially ineffective if so required).

Russians have always loved that game and it was spoiled even in the days of the Warsaw pact. As a result there was a jolly good grey market where several Warsaw pact countries sold replacement fire control for them. I know people who have written some of these.

I suspect Russian export "crippling" is nowhere near as aggressive as in those days. They have to compete properly now so they cannot do some of the stupidities they did in the days of Brezhnev.

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Re: "one less F35"

Send up large numbers of cheap, plentiful, manoeuverable 3rd and 4th gen ships, the kind with quite decent range and loiter time.

No need for that. An equal or smaller number will do. Just mount a modern ECM pod on one of the hardpoints and switch it to max. If you are flying a latest upgrade of any of the Russian aircraft or a Rafale you do not need to do that. It is built in. If nobody can use a radar anyway, then all of your points become valid straight away as everyone is "Stealthy" to start off with.

I see one of the other posters has mentioned the Red Flag American weapons advertisement event. Does he realize that both of the recent Red Flags where there were real DIFFERENT aircraft like the Indian Su-33s and French Rafale, these were not allowed to use their radar AND ECM. It is easy to achieve 15:1 when you no means of shooting Americans at long range while the Americans can pick you from 30 miles out. In a similar event vs the UK for engagement in vis range the ratio was the exact opposite - 9:1 for the Indians.

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You're not often wrong, but today is that day!

I gave Bulgaria as an example as it has been 40 years since I have been "on the ground" to Caucasus and beyond. So I cannot tell you how a shop there really looks, I can only guess based on knowing who trades with whom and how much. My bet is that it looks the same as Bulgaria due to costs, trade volumes and other similar factors. You go into a shop and 90% of all industrial goods are Turkish.

Even if you buy a Renault or Ford van in these countries it will be assembled guess where - in Turkey.

Turkish trade with Kazahstan alone in 2015 was 1.5Bn per year in 2015. Add the other republics and the South of Russia itself you get ~3Bn. Russian tourism to Turkey prior to the incident was ~3Bn per year. Total 6Bn.

Massive cyber attack targets mid-Atlantic nation 'Berylia'

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The load management (including "loss of load") of any modern and properly invested grid is actually rather good,

You are mistaking load management and on/off sequences specifically designed to "break" the grid.

Each grid has them and there are ways to model them - you can get the results either by solving the original optimal control problem for the grid (with different conditions) or from a Monte-Carlo simulation. You can do similar sh*t with most large networks which have active traffic management by the way regardless of what they carry - leccy, packets, gas or oil (*).

It is one of those things which make the difference between a scripting k11d10t and a nation state.

A nation state can employ mathematician(s) which specialize in one of the areas relevant to this (differential games/game theory, optimal control) and give him the relevant data on the enemy so they can come up with the appropriate destructive sequence.

Knowing personally the teachers of the people who will be doing the math on the other side I am giving Beryllia's grid under 5% chance to survive (if the Russians decide to play hardball with it). By the way - we can do it to. Or just ask the Israelis to do it for us.

but the idea of a grid keeling over for days and weeks is mostly alarmism.

That would have been correct if the Smart Metering priests did not throw out a key security criteria in the comms part of that infrastructure during the security review - namely speed of update/speed of reset. As noted by me at the time (and many others) there is a key issue with the idiotic design driven through by the Retail Energy Association and forced upon all of us. Namely, it will take several days to perform a pan-UK switch on/off command update and MONTHS to perform a pan-UK software update. So if you plan your attack properly and backdoor enough SMs to run an attack sequence the grid WILL BE GOING UP AND DOWN LIKE THE BRIDE'S NIGHTY. Regardless of all the advances in automation.

(*)(I have done some of the "tradesman" level coding for the math in this problem space a while back. It is quite an interesting area and most people who think that "realtime engineering load control" without the math can work here do not know what they are talking about as well as what they can face in a real attack.

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Re: "the British Joint Army"

What were they smoking when they came up with this name?

A joint.

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Re: Proper simulation

Did the government of Berylia activate its bot army to post 'influencing' material on Facebook, Twitter and other platforms?

If the attacker successfully executed a grid attack, 4G network attack and/or primary peering points attack the bot army might as well talk to its bottom. Nobody will hear it for days. At least.

The recovery time for an average country grid after a complete collapse is anything between tens of hours and days. If you successfully wipe the PCRF and/or the authentication information in a mobile core, bringing it back online is once again a matter of hours (even more so if power supply has issues), etc.

The whole idea of "exercises" with the current level of infrastructure readiness is preposterous. You have to have SOMETHING to exercise to start off with.

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long the way disrupting “the electric power grid,

Idiots. Cyber Defence center of W*nksellence is more like it.

If a grid is under a successful nation state attack it is a DEAD grid. The key difference between a nation state and a K1DD10T in mom's basement is that the nation state can run the relevant computations for the failure modes and ensure that failure modes are destructive. The attack itself is only minutes by the way so by the time you know your grid is under attack the entire country is without leccy.

It is not that difficult - it is just the standard grid optimisation and balancing software run for a solution matching "slightly" different criteria from the normal ones. The end result is potential physical damage to key substations and more importantly generation capacity going into emergency shut down due to being cut-off from the grid by overload switches (with once again potential damage).

It is a bit harder today - the computation was in the realm of trivial if you had the right consumption data + topology in the days of resistive lights. Still doable if you are a nation state and you are really attacking at a level where you can disrupt it.

So if Russia (or any other nation state with similar resources) is whacking "W*nkillia"'s grid for real that grid is not getting up any time soon.

By the way, that does not mean that we should provide them with tools to do programmable load pulsing - namely hackable smart meters with built in switches.