Re: Cali is like leftist Europe, only the criminals are allowed guns
Texas and Caifornia are both nearly bang in the middle of the league when it comes to homicide mortalities per capita, so are poor data points. If you'll permit a broad correlation of level of gun control with which Presidential candidate each state voted for in 2020 then...
The five states with the highest rates are: Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama, Missouri, New Mexico. Four reds and one blue.
The five with the lowest: Maine, Rhode Island, Vermont, New Hampshire, Nebraska. Four blues and one red.
The probability of 'blue, given that it is in the top half of the list' is 8/25. So if you say to me "this state is above the midpoint in terms of homicide mortalities", there is a 68% chance you're talking about a red state.
The bottom half of the list contains both Nebraska and Maine which split their votes, but if you bucket those according to who won the majorities then you end up giving each candidate 25 states each. So the numbers are symmetrical.
Therefore if you say to me "this state is below the midpoint" then there's a 68% chance you're talking about a blue state.
All that, of course, being relevant only if the initial assumption of a strong correlation between red/blue-ness and gun control strictness actually holds water. I might be falling for propaganda on this one.