* Posts by Andrew Orlowski

1435 publicly visible posts • joined 6 Sep 2006

UK govt preps World War 2 energy rationing to keep the lights on

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

> in some Reg Reader's lifetimes sea level will be 3 or 4 metres higher than it is now <

Not even the IPCC projects that.

http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/cop19/3_gregory13sbsta.pdf --> For most Reg Readers it'll be around 0.5m. The ultra-alarmist projection is 1m by 2100.

We actually do need to spend more on coastal defences for SE England because it has been sinking for several thousand years - but that has nothing to do with climate change.

If you're voted down, Private Fraser, it's because you're not really contributing anything useful to the discussion.

Netflix agrees to end network warnings in Verizon slowdown spat

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

@Trevor_Pott:

[censored] [censored] [censored], [censored] [censored], [censored]

I'll fill in the blanks.

[I've] [lost] [my] [tinfoil] [hat]

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

People understand networks pretty well. You're still justifying "making stuff up" to get a policy through?

Net neut supporters CRASH FCC WEBSITE with message deluge

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Oh dear.

@dan1980

That’s essentially an argument for anyone to lie, as loudly as they can lie, to achieve their ends. Anything goes.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Oh dear.

@Omniaural Thanks, and thanks also for an interesting post.

The audience for John Oliver / The Daily Show is overwhelmingly college-educated and “progressively inclined”, so I don’t think this is the first time they will have heard of it. Many may actually be sick of it and/or not give a crap.

"The argument for Net Neutrality is basically to maintain the status quo”

Not at all. In two ways:

- It’s about planting a regulatory flag on virgin territory: the private agreements that make up the internet. Regulating publicly-paid for pipes, and infrastructure created out of government contract - is fair game, and is not controversial. Taxpayers should see where their $$$ is going after all. For much of the past decade the goal has been to introduce pre-emptive technical regulation of these private contracts. (Compared to introducing regulation that mandates MS-DOS in 1983). Now the focus in the US is specifically on Class 2 reclassification. This appears to be the big prize.

- Since the net has never been neutral - it was a word an academic pulled out of his backside one day - this cannot be true.

"Maintaining the status quo" means using other regulation - antitrust law, and other competition law - to ensure competition is maintained and investment is encouraged. Strengthening this competition law and actually using is a start. There are other things people can do and I listed some of them.

"At this point I don't think your going to be able to reframe the arguments to be technically correct.”

I don’t know what this means, sorry. Similarly, “… I think most would choose to not let big companies hog the limited bandwidth available to them.” is not something I can map onto reality. I have never heard this one before.

The problem with allowing irrational arguments to be made with challenge, because they’re made for what somone feels is a “worthy" cause, is that pretty soon everyone is doing the same thing. They’re advancing proposals that don’t make any sense, that can’t be rationally justified. Laws are then passed on the basis of who has the biggest sense of entitlement or shouts the loudest.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Oh dear.

Fast lanes, slow lanes. Conspiracies (that we can't quite see - but they're there, I tell you! they're there!). Analogies to the mob...

You have omitted everything that made his contribution - or more accurately, his scriptwriting team's contribution - quite so moronic. It's technically illiterate. It's an Alex Jones / Bill O'Reilly perspective on the world.

In that piece I explained why the net has never been neutral, why the analogies don't work, and offered half a dozen suggestions for constructive citizen action. You could actually surprise us all, and attempt to address the substance of the internet regulation debate.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Oh dear.

I think the Left has found its very own Rush Limbaugh, or Bill O'Reilly - a ranting populist paranoid. This is probably the most moronic interpretation of network architecture I have ever seen.

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2014/05/09/net_neutrality_explained_and_how_to_get_a_better_internet/

Anyone want to guess what this luvvie would make of the ToS headers in RFC 791?

Has Google gone too far? Indie labels say it's crunch time for The New Economy

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: "Songwriters are negotiating with a gun to their heads. The gun is piracy"

@Noom

Is it OK, or not, to use market dominance to exclude competition in another market. That is illegal in almost all competition law. Now, not everyone agrees there should be any competition law, and companies should have a "free choice" to do exactly as they please. Perhaps you can elaborate on your analysis and proposed remedies - if any.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Actually, I hear they're over at Google Play - tearing their hair out.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: "Songwriters are negotiating with a gun to their heads. The gun is piracy"

"Excuse me if I'm wrong: but I think YouTube is saying it will simply remove all content from its service for which it has been unable to negotiate terms of use with the owner."

You're wrong. There are two different services in play here: YouTube video, most of which is already licensed, and the yet-to-be-launched audio streamer.

"You can't have it both ways: 'We want to be on YouTube because we need the exposure!' 'We don't want to be on YouTube because they don't pay very well!"

So musicians should eat poo, and accept whatever chickenfeed money YouTube throws at musicians, simply because YouTube draws a large audience?

In a functioning market, creative people are paid more if their work is popular, and less if it's less popular. So you have made an interesting argument, there. Not one I'd want to defend ethically.

"Why don't they just club together and build their own distribution website?"

Then you could complain that they're stifling innovation. Or a cartel. Or something. I'm sure that whatever the independent music sector did, you'd find a reason to complain.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: They should probably call their bluff

I very much doubt you would think that, Dan55, if it was your own indie label being blocked from YouTube.

That's all.

'Inaccurate' media misleads public on European Court's Google ruling

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: Google-friendly?

"For non-news sites, the judge would probably have agreed to have ordered the information to be removed. As it was, he had to let it stay up, but make it harder to find."

You're quite right, the information now "hangs around" and it's in full public view. It may be the first thing that shows up, now matter how irrelevant it is.

The ruling doesn't affect Lexis-Nexis because it doesn't have the all-pervasive reputational impact of a ubiquitous search engine. It doesn't affect newspapers because journalists have a public interest defence. And it doesn't apply to any information that's in the public interest anyway.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Jimmy Wales gave quite a performance on Andrew Marr. In five minutes, I don't think Jimbo said anything that resembles a truthful statement.

eg,

Marr: So in theory, if I am a corrupt business person and I have had a series of convictions and so forth in the past, I can apply to Google saying I don't want people to know about this any more. And a committee on which you sit will have to decide the rules by which I'm successful or fail.

Wales: Well er, I'm advising er, Google, and basically I have joined this panel with Google. But it's not just about advising Google what to do. I think I view us having a broader remit, asking: 'how should we change the law so we can better strike a better balance between privacy and free speech'? So we don't end up with these very clumsy cases where Google has to determine whether a news story is something they're legally allowed to link to or not. That's a very hard position….that's a kind of decision that should be left to courts, at best.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b04647bc/the-andrew-marr-show-01062014 -> starts at 20:20.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

While it's a fascinating idea that we haven't got round to joining the EU yet, I'm afraid I have to break some bad news. The UK DPA incorporates EU law.

The European Court of Justice dealt with Google's loophole defence that it was based outside the EU. The ICO's blog on the ruling is linked to in the article: http://iconewsblog.wordpress.com/2014/05/20/four-things-weve-learned-from-the-eu-google-judgment/

In addition, what Google claims in its Privacy Policy (sic) is neither here nor there.

FORGET OUR PAST, 12,000 Europeans implore Google

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Why is Google in charge of the process?

"It's not clear to me why the courts decided that a first decision about privacy should be taken by Google".

Because it's easiest and cheapest to avoid courts in dispute resolution. But it's the courts ultimately decide, not the search engines. The media has falsely created the impression that Google is beleagured, with some woeful reporting - because the media love "internet is broken" stories. However Google has no obligation to devote any resources to the complaint. Google can refuse and bounce *every single one* of those 12,000 (or 12 million) requests to the Information Commissioner at next to no cost.

The sequence is:

1 - person complains to search engine

2 - search engine tells complainant to bugger off to the ICO.

3 - ICO decides whether complaint has merit. This is a judicial procedure, handled in courts, that takes ages. And not many can be processed.

The "12,000" figure is part of a PR campaign that also includes Google's paid "advisors" telling the media the "Internet Is Broken". Eg:

https://twitter.com/hendopolis/status/472482368566341632/photo/1

Entering the Dragon: A little data from Big China

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Suicide

That will be mist or the inside of a windshield (the sun only came out for an hour that week). The air quality is pretty good there - elsewhere in China, not so much.

China to become world's No 1 economy. And we still can't see why

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: They aren't all like Huawei

Haier is the world's No.1 white goods company now. Very decent fridges. So it isn't just about Huawei.

Web firms, DON'T PANIC: The Euro Google 'right to be forgotten' isn't a problem

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: Question

"Andrews argument that (it only affects Google, so who cares?) is a new slant on ignoring censorship of the press."

Rubbish. RTFJ.

What you're actually doing is pretending that Lexis-Nexis is being censored, when it isn't. Then screaming the house down.

If you want the Article 8 repealed, then that's fair enough. Article is what's "censoring the press" - it is what inhibits publication.

So why not campaign for that? After you...

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: Question

By that definition removing spammy links is also "collateral damage". I'm not sure who you're trying to convince.

But for context:

You joined The Register forums quite recently to defend Google.

80pc of your posts are about Google.

100pc of your posts about Google defend its evasion of some law: competition law, privacy law etc.

So at least you're being consistent.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: I don't understand

You were asking if other search engines / services fall under the ruling. You're trying do this by not to reading the article - or the decision!

The Justices made it pretty clear that the societal impact that a service has is important. Google has a huge reputational impact. A subscription clippings service, or a search engine nobody uses (eg, Bing) less so. They simply rejected Google argument that it isn't exempt from EU law.

I'm sorry but your description of filters doesn't make sense to me, and I don't see its relevance. But just as with any other publisher, a search engine has some control over what it publishes.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: I don't understand

Um, nice troll - but do you really think Google doesn't "censor" what its crawlers return? Google chooses not display millions of spammy sites already. It block deletes entire domains, too: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/07/06/google_cans_11m_dot_co_dot_cc_sites/

If you think the internet "has just been broken", it's because you don't know how it works.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: I don't understand

Blame the French, it was their idea.

Europe adopted "the right to a private life" as a fundamental right in 1995, it was incorporated into UK law more recently (hence the superinjunctions, etc) and Europe's highest Court has simply ruled that Google is not exempt. Newspapers have their own derogations.

I would recommend reading the ECJ's ruling as it is in plain English and the three page summary for idiots even more so:

http://curia.europa.eu/jcms/upload/docs/application/pdf/2014-05/cp140070en.pdf

Europe's shock Google privacy ruling: The end of history? Don't be daft

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Good point. If you read the ECJ ruling it's a search engine's social impact and ubiquity that brings it into the firing line. If Bing had a 90 per cent share, it would be Bing, not Google.

It's not so much that the others "are innocent", it's just that they don't have the reputational impact.

WTF is Net Neutrality, anyway? And how can we make everything better?

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: Excellent article

"Fred, my tiny local ISP in the Bay Area stopped providing DSL because"

Sorry, I didn't finish that before smacking the button.

... because the Californian Pac Bell was allowed to retail DSL at below the price at which my ISP could buy it at wholesale. My tiny ISP was a co-op, it didn't need to make a huge margin. But it couldn't make any margin, so it stopped providing DSL.

This was a direct consequence of the FCC bending over for the Bells. So more local loop competition is a massive win for the consumer.

Where's the huge consumer campaign for this? Oh. Everyone's camping out in DC, demanding packet equality.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: "it can't really work any other way"

The "other way" is all packets traveling at the same priority. Care to start a network that operates on that basis? :)

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: @ Irony Deficient

That's true in most countries - cable and DSL keep each other competitive, if not honest.

4G, WiMAX and 5G should be frightening the crap out of the incumbents. Why aren't they?

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Excellent article

Fred, my tiny local ISP in the Bay Area stopped providing DSL because Of all those competitive suggestions at the end, local loop is probably the most promising.

I guess the grass is always greener. Most countries have a "duopoly" of cable & DSL. They keep each other competitive. In practical terms my 4G connection is as fast as my 120mbit/s cable at home, for most applications. I leave it on most of the time.

Does anyone seriously argue "common carriage" improves competition in the access market? That's what you do to copper to make it decay more slowly, isn't it?

Common carriage merely manages the decline, it seals in the incumbents we have today - that everyone love so much! If "common carriage" is the end goal of neutrality (not an "open internet", or whatever it is this week), then it's purely a political campaign, right?

Better competition or CC - pick one.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: My Comments List Re: The Article; USA ISPs Versus Their Customers

At the end of that piece I offer half a dozen strategies Americans might like to pursue to get better competition. They're not mutually exclusive - you can pursue more than 1.

You don't seem to want to pursue any of these. It sounds a lot like you're stamping your feet and shouting "But MOMMY, it's not FAIR!”

[ lifted from:

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/12/22/dziuba_net_neut/ ]

I don't know any neutrality campaigner who thinks access networks will become more competitive because of neutrality rules - let alone the transit or backhaul networks. Neutrality is a massive diversion from the issues.

Sure, life isn't fair. But if you ask for nuthin', you get nuthin'.

Google forges a Silver bullet for Android, aims it at Samsung's heart

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Well, it was only a matter of time......

I think you are probably correct with that prediction. Perhaps if Amazon, Samsung and Uncle Tom Cobbley could create a joint 'store', or at least a wholesale operation that served a bunch set of branded alternative Stores, then developers would only be to happy to sign up - provided it could demonstrate scale.

Samsung alone ships > 100m Androids pa.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Yes, Silver is much broader, it's the creation of a new branded premium Android platform, rather than one-off reference designs.

Silver phones are assured updates, etc. Pretty much an invitation to either play nice, or fork off.

Windows Phone: Just as well Microsoft bought an Android maker, RIGHT?

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: What is Windows Phone market?

That's a fair summary.

Yes, the Google subsidy that makes the Moto G cheap is the value of your privacy. Most people don't care about privacy. Discuss.

After Comcast, Netflix inks second net traffic deal with Verizon

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: How much for P2P traffic deal?

When The Pirate Bay stumps up the cash to give you a better service.

RIP net neutrality? FCC mulls FAST LANES for info superhighway

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: An open question to the anti-net-neutrality crowd:

"Please explain why net neutrality is bad for me"

That's a pretty tough one, Trevor, if you can't explain what "net neutrality" is in the first place. You have to define what the thing *is* before making value judgements upon "it".

Explaning what the thing *is* is a pre-requisite to regulating it, since it's hard to regulate metaphors and aspirations, and then come out with sensible regulations at the other end of the sausage machine.

But then again, if you what you are actually saying is "I am a morally righteous person - look at this Net Neutrality flag I am waving around: it is goodness, it is ME. Upvote me now"... then you never need to answer the question.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: A Very Strong Stink of Corruption

"And you say Google and Netflix are the beneficiaries? No. They're about to be casualties."

Google and Netflix are "Big OTT". Now they can screw Little OTT, and OTT startups. Those are the defining markets.

I think you're talking about something quite different - the "pricing out" of any/all OTT players by bundling content with the pipe - like BT does here. (I presume you want to outlaw this). The sums involved though are really small. Netflix saved money by switching to Comcast.

See my other posting below... and in particular, the ratpie post.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: A Very Strong Stink of Corruption

So you really wanted media contol all along?

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: A Very Strong Stink of Corruption

Almost.

It's "Uncle Ron's Video Startup" that will suffer, even if you have the best video content in the world. You'll stil need to do the deals. Netflix switched distributor and now deals directly with Comcast rather than via an intermediary. It was a straight swap and wasn't an additional cost to Netflix, I believe Netflix has said it has saved money, net.

But even though you have mis-identified who the beneficiaries are, the competition concerns are valid.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Could be bad - but not for reasons you might think

The "neutral" public internet isn't used for video, it is incapable of supporting a popular consumer video service. Or even an unpopular video service. The public backbone isn't really used for anything worth charging for any more.

If you want to serve video to millions of people, with no lags, you have always needed to 'pay' one way or another. Pay for your own CDN, which means paying for edge servers at a Telco, or pay to use someone else's. The latest FCC rules appear to formalise current arrangements. They don't appear to "end neutrality" because the neutral net has never really existed - except as a rhetorical device, a metaphor, an oversimplification, or imaginary utopia. Am I discriminated against because I'm being asked to pay for beer?

(Nor was IP ever designed to treat packets equally - it was designed as a poly-service network. See RFC 791 from 1981. Different services needs different latencies, speeds and QoS. All sensible stuff)

That said there are valid competition concerns here. Only Big OTT Video (like YouTube or Netflix) may now be able to afford to grown and scale. The losers are entrants to the OTT Video market. Do you really fancy your chances competing against YouTube or Netflix? You're going to need to raise a lot of money. This is why Google is very ambivalent about Neutrality regulation - it benefits as an incumbent from higher barriers to entry. This was always the case in the Real World - building a rival to Tesco needs a lot of capital.

If you're truly interested in devising intelligent regulation that promotes competition, rather than formalising Big Internet Monopolies like YouTube, this is the most useful and thought-provoking analysis that I have read:

The US Net Neutrality Debate; Sleepwalking into Walled Gardens

http://ratpie.org/2014/02/21/the-us-net-neutrality-debate-sleepwalking-into-walled-gardens/

In an alternative internet history, Big Telco could have been taxed a small amount to maintain the public backbones. Regulation would rightly focus on public backbone instead of private agreements.

Net Neutrality became a political campaign to regulate private agreements, rather than the public infrastructure.

Reg slips claws across Nokia's sexy sixties handsets, fondles flagship too

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Number sequence

I suspect there might be, but there's not much left to cut from the 630.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: A question

Didn't really have a chance to play with it. But they moved out synced MP3s, Podcasts, Radio, Xbox Music etc into their own apps, the "Music Hub" is no more.

Windows Phone 8.1: Like WinPho 8, but BETTER

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Rotation lock?

It came in with WP8 GDR3.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Looks quite nice

Yes, I have a screenshot of that. I'll stick it in, and the Swype-y keyboard.

That's it, we're all really OLD: Google's Gmail is 10 ALREADY

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Shame about scanning emails to target advertising though

Exactly.

Newsnight goes sour on Tech City miracle

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: The emperor's new offices?

"posting something on Twitter and thinking it won't get made public? tsk ;-)"

A lot of people I respect have said that it was daft of me to do that. Even in a closed group. And particularly when I've written about photographers taking stuff off the web - http://www.theregister.co.uk/2013/03/12/err_bill_photo_consequences/ - because they can't protect their work.

But I gave her the benefit of the doubt, reckoning she might have forgotten she was taking something out of a Protected account, and making it public. Only someone looking for a fight refuses to delete a Tweet, after they've been asked *very* nicely. I didn't expect that at all.

btw, I think most of the growth touted for Tech City (26pc) comes from the redefinition of 'tech' to include marketing services, and businesses with 50pc of their business online. Marketing and financial services have rebounded strongly in the last year. But they were there anyway, and have nothing to do with "ye tech cluster".

Is the World Wide Web for luvvies and VCs – or for all of us?

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

SGML was/is incredibly complex, formal, top-down, and bureaucratic. It was unapologetically "the book of everything". You needed to do a lot of work to gain some value from this complexity. So a document creator, unaided, wasn't going to bother.

But the protocol on its own doesn't define the future. Capital matters too. If VC money had made different bets in 1994, the communities and individuals writing would have had a different kind of help. WWW was one kind of kludge. Other kludges would have happened too. A mere fraction of the stuff that TBL omitted from WWW could be very empowering to people engaged in communities, needing communication tools, and help with documents. That "help" either never came, or only came via serve-side fiefdoms, like Facebook.

This was not inevitable. What is impossibly difficult one day can become easy, with tools, a few weeks later. We will never know.

"And if search engines were foolish enough to take the markup seriously, it would quickly become worse than useless as the markup became just another SEO toy."

Cause < > effect.

Search engines go where the people go. Gamers need something to game.

If a community of anglers, or Conservatives, or swingers, devise and popularise a language, or a tag set, then the search engine will follow. It will need to understand it. It has no option but to follow.

You ascribe some God-like omniscience and wisdom to search engines that simply isn't there. They are followers not leaders.

All I'm saying is: the web we might have had would look very different to the web we have today. The web we have today is the result of technical incompetence and the prejudices of finance capital, c.1994.

Replay the game, and you get a different result. That's all.

PM Cameron leaps aboard Internet of Thingies

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Competence

Posted without reading the last paragraph? I think you'll find it's there.

MWC: The good, the bad ... and the Galaxy S5

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: About the Jolla......

It looks slick, but it isn't easy to use. You're reflecting life from inside the fanbois bubble. It looks very different from the outside.

TV scraper Aereo pulled off air in six US states after tellyco court injunction victory

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Shooting themselves in the foot

"Aereo is a win for the broadcasters"

A few people seem to be posting from a time warp - my guess is 2003. Aereo doesn't do anything a TiVo or Sky+ box don't do today - and these are bundled with the cable/satellite service. I think I pay £1 extra a month to my UK cable monopoly for the TiVo+, and I can program it from any where, on almost any smartphone, phondleslab or computer.

There is absolutely *no* innovation in Aereo. Just someone betting on a loophole.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: Crucial difference

Yes, there is some doubt whether the antennae are actually attached to anything.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: How is this theft?

No, the confusion is entirely yours - you don't understand how the law treats a) personal time-shifting and b) rebroadcasting differently. Aereo was founded on the hope that the freedoms under a) would blow away the protections under b).

It's pretty simple.

Andrew Orlowski (Written by Reg staff)

Re: Re: Wouldn't this be making more money for the broadcasters?

"The thing is that now the broadcaster, cable company, content producer, and advertizer are all the same company"

The funny farm is on the left.