* Posts by John Smith 19

16330 publicly visible posts • joined 10 Jun 2009

Reg ed rattles the Red-Headed League

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

@disgruntled yank

"There are or were a hell of a lot of "blonde jokes" going around the US 20 or 25 years ago, "

Didn't most of them get their own series?

Porn found in Osama bin Laden compound

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Hooch181

Spoils of war.

Kill a man, take his pron stash.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

The *only* pictures I'd want to see released.

That is all.

Would putting all the climate scientists in a room solve global warming...

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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In *real* science

Observations meet theory.

Observations *win*.

Influence of sunspot and UV levels underestimated x6 and that is *not* important.

I'd suggest that is at *least* worthy of investigation.

And despite *repeated* observations that "We don't really understand the role of clouds" WTF don't you start *trying* to find out.

The fact that CFC production brought about changes in polar Ozone levels on *human* timescales proves that humans can change climate.

However I find the fact that the temperature pattern between ground level, troposphere and stratosphere matches the skeptics, rather than the advocates *astonishing*.

This is an empirical *fact*.

Yet I have not seen advocates *explain* it.

If that pattern does *not* drop out of their GCM runs by *default* that would suggest *all* GCM's are FUBAR anyway.

I believe that something is happening. Everything is *not* rosy in the garden.

However *real* science explains *all* the observations *and* predicts what will happen next.

And the skeptics look like they have demonstrated *superior* science and more honesty.

Glass aeroplanes and iPads on the way, say boffins

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

"glassy" is a state of matter, It's *not* transparent.

In fact opacity depends on the bonding between different atoms. The near *total* lack of order in this solid might make it *more* opaque than crystallised metal.

Note that most metal glasses are made by rapid *cooling* at around 1000 000 deg /sec by praying a sheet at a fast spinning water cooled copper cylinder. Only the thinness of the sheets *allows* the cooling to be this fast. AFAIK the *big* use of this stuff is in transformers and other magnetic components due to *much* better magnetic properties. However their temperature limit is *low*. While the raw alloy might be good to the Curie point of the alloy this stuff will start loosing its properties c275c as the atoms start to move and in principle it will begin to re-crystallize outward from whatever crystalline material it's in contact with.

Hackers turn Cisco phones into remote bugging devices

John Smith 19 Gold badge
FAIL

So default configuration is insecure?

Cisco chanell the spirit of Microsoft?

X-Prize offers $10m for working Trek tricorder

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Thumb Up

Note what the original X prize has *lead* to.

Before.

Sub orbital flight. "Can't be done, no market, already been done, no one interested" blah, blah.

After

20+ entries made, many of whom were able to raise funding on the basis that "If we win this, there's a big bag of cash on the table."

Virgin Galactic wit 5000 people ready to offer $200k full fair on launch day.

New mexico spaceport

It's that *immediate* bag of cash right up front (if you can meet the criteria).

Not

"well our business plan anticipates a 7 year FDA approval delay but after that we expect a steady growth of at least 5% PA." Yawn.

That's what gets people excited.

That's what *can* get funding released.

The X prize was modeled on the Orteg prize that Charles Lindberg won for the New York to Paris run. BTW Lindberg was IIRC one of 7 entrants and the *last* to takeoff. It was neither the best funded nor AFAIK the most technically advanced, but it won.

Thumbs up. Obviously the devils in the details of the prize rules but I hope that they will prioritize *results* (IE a *reliable* diagnostic tool over a *comprehensive*) without specifying *method* (like it *must* analyse urine but does not have to look at a patients skin or eyes).

CSC locked out of new NHS contracts

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@LPF

"Nope, they pphysically changed the HTTP spec, I had to resort to using Netmon to actually look at what they had done."

This suggests 2 problems you need to be aware of when using outsourced labor.

1)Some of them are *very* smart and will contrive elaborate (and *unexpected* and apparently undocumented) ways to solve a problem, even a possibly simple problem.

2)Their so impressed by how clever they've been they don' realise how stupid they have been.

Thumbs up for finding such a "clever" feature. I'm guessing Netmon is not something you use to save regular problems on your day job.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Joke

OMG A supplier is actually *penalised* for being bad.

Herdsmen!

Confirm all Gloster Oldspot's have been fed and watered

Prepare Squadron for takeoff!

Give the Met Office £10m, says Transport Committee

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

£10m sounds like a bargain

I believe a reports indicates the UK lost c£286m a day on this snow event.

Weather or not £10m can actually *do* anything about it is another matter.

Elon Musk prepares SpaceX rocket firm for IPO

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8 years is a *long* time for VC's to stay in a company.

Which either means they have strong commitment to a visionary leader (good for potential start-ups approaching them but their competitors reckon they are saps) or they are weasel faced late comers who got in when success was virtually assured, which is the kind of move that gets them plenty of respect from other VC's.

Time will tell if they get bought (It's an IPO. Who buys the shares determines who the new presumably *minor* stockholders will be).

BTW Boeing is *relatively* fair as a competitor, possibly because they still make stuff for a *commercial* market. In contrast LockMart are pure government con-tractors. their playing of NASA in the X33 programme reminded me of the restaurant owner in Goodfellas who feels he *has* to take on an organised crime family as his "partner."Their "remarkable" ability to win contests despite "mishaps" (like *loosing* 70 million dollars in the *evaluation* stage of the JSF project)

I wish Spacex every success on this but hope Elon retains *significant* control.

Police ordered to disclose ANPR camera sites

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Flame

Rather know *why* they were installed in the first place,

along with *who* authorised them (Let me guess. Something to do with ACPO Ltd perhaps?)

And WTF is that 5 year and (apparently ) *growing* data retention policy.?

So the historians of 2050 can study the driving patterns of their forefathers?

I think not.

Forget that storage is getting cheaper.

The cheapest storage is *not* to do it in the first place.

CERT warns of critical industrial control bug

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Happy

Not to worry.

After all everyone loves Americans (they just want to be loved after all) and besides any one who *might* be a bit upset at the country couldn't *possibly* figure out a way to use this information in some sort of petty, mean spirited attack against some kind of *imagined* attack on them.

Right?

IPCC report: Renewables can never meet energy demand

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

@scatter

"What's this based on? Is this number, say, plucked out of thin air?"

I'd say it's more a sort of Dennis Leary argument. *

"Yeah that's right. They *deserve* to use 2/3 of what we use cause we got the bombs,man. Nuclear f***king weapons man. "

*Actually I think it's in the report that given their estimates of how generating capacity would grow if most of it was renewable and humans had to divide up a *slightly* bigger energy cake among a *lot* more people.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

@Maurice Shakeshaft

"I understood the figure to be about 10kW/m2 at geostationary orbit with about a 95% loss in the atmosphere."

No the figure above the atmosphere is the one I listed. In solar energy terms it's called Air Mass 0. At sea level where ground based solar operates (more or less) its' AM1 and is c976 Watts per sq metre. Your figure is grossly wrong. For rough calculations assume 1000 W/sq metre.

"As you note, if we capture and convert a small proportion "

Make that a *very* small proportion, a very small fraction of 1% at the mean Earth orbital radius.

"However, the big issue/problem is getting governments and enterprises to take seriously the idea of solar power in its various forms."

Well a Californian solar company is launching a 200Mw solar power satellite as a test. That seems pretty serious to me.

Ground solar in the UK seems an exercise in harvesting subsidies, rather than improving energy security.

"Why is the hand grenade a bit of a dud here."

The claim was the human race would be in trouble if our energy usage exceeded the output of the Sun. No explanation of *what* that trouble would be. I've merely worked out the numbers to demonstrate how far away we are. I *suggested* the poster *might* have meant the Earths ability to re-radiate heat would be a problem to out energy growth, but that would was just an idea.

As for credibility the space solar project was run at NASA in the 1970's by JPL with Ratheon as a prime contractor. They did substantial work on space antenna construction and constructing phased arrays using microwave oven magetrons (historically considered too electronically noisy to be viable phased array elements).

Not exactly the proverbial crackpot in a garden shed.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

AC@12:01

"Be aware that the limiting factor in human continuation is not water, pollution, disease or food but energy. "

Plausible assertion. Depends how that energy is used.

If our usage exceeds that supplied by the Sun humans, and possibly the planet, are history."

Crikey that sounds pretty dire.

So let's see how much the sun puts out.

1 AU (mean distance between Earth and Sun) 149,597,870.7Km.

Solar constant 1.366Kw/m^-2 (although it's anything but constant IRL).

4 x Pi x r^2 = 3.84 x 10^26 J

Or *roughly* 543 *thousand* times more than the maximum figure to give *everyone* on Earth a US/European standard of living.

Now *collecting* a substantial fraction of that won't be easy but I think it puts the problem in perspective, does it not.

So I'd say your hand grenade is a bit of a dud.

Perhaps you were thinking about the Earths ability to radiate *waste* heat into space was exceeded.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

@Conor

"There's a limited amount of high quality ore available. "

You might like to look at the world price of uranium

http://www.world-nuclear.org/info/inf22.html

"15% of current fuel comes from decommissioned nuclear warheads. T"

Source

Looks more like 25%.

"Evidence seems to indicate that as you bring people out of poverty and ignorance, their populations even out. The first world's population has been dropping... Course, that takes energy..."

Perhaps that explains China's and India's interest in Thorium (which is *very* abundant) fueled nuclear reactors.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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@Conor

"but you will not sell a house here without insulation and double glazing - people would just roll around laughing."

Quite so.

But they would *rent* it to you.

However you're right if there was a way to incentivise landlords to upgrade their properties.

Actually it would be better if they upgraded the UK insulation regulations, which I suspect are still among the *worst* in Europe.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

@Suboptimal Planet

"I'd be disappointed if they hadn't solved the nuclear fusion problem in a thousand years' time,"

Me too.

But somehow *not* surprised.

Seriously nuclear fusion has been the "We'll have it done in 10 years or so" energy source since the 1950s.

The test machines keep getting bigger (and *lots* more expensive) but IDK "somehow" breakeven still remains *far* away.

And as for *collecting* that energy and generating electricity with it (which seems to be a pretty core component of an energy system) no one has seriously looked at that problem yet.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Thumb Down

A brief note on how to lower runaway population growth.

Family size without indoor toilets, running water, access to birth control, state welfare and decent housing 10.

Mortality rate at 5 yrs. 50%.

Family size wit indoor plumbing, access to birth control, state welfare and decent housing. 2

Mortality rate at 5 yrs. 0%.

Not a 3rd world country.

The East End of London in the early 20th Century.

John Smith 19 Gold badge

@fixit_f

"All that's being suggested is more voluntary childlessness and less stupid people creating huge families resulting in a net reduction of the human population across the world."

And the incentive for the "stupid" people being?

Shuttle mission: SPAWNING of the SPACE KRAKEN

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

Don't worry the samples will safety destroyed.

Should be delicious.

Still waiting to see someone take some birds eggs into orbit and see if they can learn to fly in the ISS.

Munro report: Child protection staff hindered by IT

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

Do social workers take typing tests?

Seriously

Only if recording *detailed* notes into a computer is needed I'd guess unless someone is a fair typist (shall we say 20WPM minimum?) *very* few of those notes they have been scribbling are going to end up on some child's record. Handwriting recognition (scanned or tablet entry).? Voice to text perhaps?

Let's note that in some ways child protection IT is a lot like *many* local/central government IT systems including social work, NHS patients and "offenders" from arrest to trial to prison to (possibly) parole.

1) Population of people moving through *multiple* jurisdictions/locations.

2) Notes may need to be attached to their record, possibly by *multiple* organisations. The classic "problem" family with parents on welfare, children misbehaving at school or committing crimes up to and including daddy being a bit too "affectionate" with his children could need input from at least social services, police, schools, hospitals, GPs.

3) Individual authorities have the right to procure their own systems.

4)The systems should be able to report on staff to some level of detail.

5)The system (whatever it is) *will* change how staff work.

Perhaps they should concentrate on *core* functions and make damm sure the data can be transferred

But at heart the system needs staff who will do their *jobs*.

It took 60 visits to kill Peter Connelly.

it would have taken *one* (by someone *authorised* ) to save him.

What happened when Huawei called in the makeover consultants

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Coat

So Huawei is the Chinese Cisco.

Customers may make of that what they will.

Microsoft poised to make biggest ever buy – Skype

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Gates Horns

Steve has a little message for all you non Windows Skype users

You gonna squeal like a pig.

That is all.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Joke

What's Skype good for

Simple.

Playing VC pass the parcel of course.

You just have to find a bigger mug (with more money) than you are and sell it to them.

UK security minister steps down

John Smith 19 Gold badge
FAIL

So who's the company?

NCC?

Dettica (BAe infrastructure spying subsidary)

AN Other?

Fail as I don't consider bumping up £500m of UK taxpayers money spent on "Cyber security" (WTF that is) well spent.

Australia cuts solar subsidies, and not before time

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

Now for the UK..

I *think* the feed in tariff (at this level for 25 years after installation) has done its job of lowering the average installation cost by a substantial amount.

What to do about it.

Well 2 options seem possible.

Lower the feed in tariff .

Shorten the period. Remember this is a fixed tariff for 25 years.

Or of course do both.

There are enough options regarding PV cell type, inverter and power storage suppliers (personally I'd like to see someone have a go with flywheel storage based on train wheels) that competition and economies of scale *seem* to have started working.

As others have pointed out the cost of electricity (especially give the apparent oligopoly of the UK market) is unlikely to go *anywhere* but up.

The UK would probably not end up with the most *efficient* system

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Returning to Australia which this story is about

1) It looks like the current level of subsidy has done its job and ramped up an industry to the point where economies of scale are *starting* to kick in.

2)This suggests its time to start ramping *down* the subsidy (a sort of a grant de-escalator) although perhaps not getting rid of it altogether.

3) It was clear this was going to happen.

For Australia readers like *all* renewables PV is unreliable and needs backup. Since this subsidy concerns *grid* connected solar PV what have the utility suppliers (or the government) done about improving storage for all this new electricity?

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Joke

@Michael Hoffmann

"the miserable first home buyers grant!"

Australians get a government *grant * to buy their first homes?

"You lucky b***ards" (as the prisoner in The Life of Brian would put it).

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Sounds like solar thermal *much* more useful in the UK.

Not profitable

Useful. As in supplying warmer feed water to central heating or hot water systems.

Just an impression.

Microsoft Skype: How the VCs won and Ballmer overpaid

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@temperneatly

"MS bought the company, got what they needed from TrueSpace then killed it."

A close look at Microsoft history will show that is SOP.

Apple and Google wriggle on US Senate hot seat

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Digital privacy.

How about a *thorough* review of the PATRIOT act for starters?

But I think most people reading these pages know that Apple and Google (and Microsoft if they had a bigger mobile presence) will do what they can get away with.

Until someone stops them *from* getting away with it.

Ask yourself two little questions.

Do they have a *need* to know this information in order to provide the services *you* pay for?

Do they have any sort of *right* to ask for it?

If they answer to both is "no" then WTF are they doing collecting it?

Alpha.gov.uk – it's nearly a beta

John Smith 19 Gold badge
WTF?

"trusted private sector identity service providers"

I smell a re-purposed Identity and Passport Office bait and switch.

Didn't take long for the data fetishists to come out of their holes, did it?

Dear Mr Beefy ex-soldier: Your BT needs you

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@Mahatma Coat

"That said, I get the impression that a lot of ex-services people, especially those that joined up directly after leaving school, come out having zero experience of life outside of an institution and making decisions for themselves. "

I believe a surprising number join the prison service. They seem to like it.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

I've been both supervised by and supervised one or two ex forces types.

The supervisor was a bit of a nervy fellow (Ex Army NCO. I forget which army) and I definitely had him down as a candidate for most-likely-to-go-postal-in-the-workplace, despite me being my usual warm hearted self.

Still one must move with the times. Postal services are *so* 20th century.

"Going BT" might soon take on meaning other than returning to their telephone and internet services.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

@Mike 1140

Sky. No. They're using BT ducts (sooner or later)

But Virgin OTOH...

2 Vans.

1 Street

No mercy.

WTF is... IPv6?

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Flame

How many home routers are IP6 ready?

I mean it's only been what 15 *years* since this standard was issued.

FFS there should have been an IP6 mode in *every* home router by now.

In infrastructure the future does not just *happen*.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

My Alter Ego

"Unfortunately it appears to be a little buggy on Win7."

Another ticks the box but does not actually *do* the job MS product then.

Important breakthrough in mole-cruiser technology

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Headmaster

Good through small balls and sand.

and presumably molten magma.

Not so sure about going through rock though.

ACS:Law fined for data breach

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Flame

I think the words "f***king chancer"

about covers him.

As for that "I;m skint" routine I'd rather strongly doubt it.

I suspect a good forensic accountant would discover some very interesting transactions on his finances.

Huawei celebrates UK win with Everything Everywhere

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Joke

Maybe they can co-locate with Talk Talk

All that bandwidth back tho China must be expensive.

Intel's Tri-Gate gamble: It's now or never

John Smith 19 Gold badge

ARM is *not* Intels enemy, but Intel *is* ARMs.

ARM would *happily* license their latest architecture to Intel (at the right price). They are a fabless design house. Licensing IP is what they do.

Intel don't *want* that.

Customer's would not *pay* Intel x86 prices for an ARM. Why should they?

They want you to buy their x86 *architecture* (as in proprietary, single source with *their* extensions) at their *proprietary* prices.

This is just a way of encouraging operators to do so.

They know if the workload does not *force* people to run Intel hardware (IE The only processor some core apps, including Windows run on) and people are not afraid that AMD will release a competitor with more bugs in than theirs why pay the Intel *premium* price?

The piece missing from this announcement will be how they will "encourage" MS to eliminate support for ARM in Windows versions. Not that they are likely to put that in a press release.

MS and Intel have benefited from having *near* monopolies on the desktop. Intel could *never* have funded this spending spree without the fat profits from controlling the architecture and a monopolistic core software supplier.

No one would pay Intel prices for an ARM architecture without *massive* significant additions to the core.

As for the tech itself.

This seems to be more about *leakage* current than switching. That's important because while you can slow clocks (use clockless methods in extreme cases) and power down sections of a chip you can's *stop* the leakage current (and IIRC it rises with temperature, although at a guess aircon costs more than the electricity you loose in leakage unless you're Google). This is a way of doing SOI levels of leakage (or near there) *without* the SOI issues of lattice strain or creating a high resistance substrate layer *inside* a wafer.

The first rule of monopoly is "We have *no* monopoly. It's a free market".

The second is "do *whatever* it takes to protect the monopoly."

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Thumb Up

@Frank Rysanek

"before they finally have to give up any hope of dragging Moore's law any further using just silicon and lithography. 32nm->22nm = 0.6875^2 =~ 0.47 ."

I think you've hit the nail on the head. The question is how much *better* is this tech *above* what you would expect from a device shrink.

Not much seems to be the answer.

Tilera preps 100-core chips for network gear

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Impressive

If they deliver.

But why not the tile-zilla series?

CEOP to retain ops control under National Crime Agency

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Sounds like still *no* effective oversight

So expect continuing self serving mis-information "CP is a billion dollar industry" etc.

What I'd *love* to know from all those *years* of secret ISP blacklists, raids and seizures are

1) What is the *real* proportion of online UK paedophiles versus the total number of UK internet users?

2)How much does each prosecution cost?

3)What is their conviction rate?

4)What is their conviction rate *after* appeal?

5) How many children have been identified as being *in* the UK?

*Maybe* £8m a year is *not* too high a price to pay

But I *strongly* doubt it.

TalkTalk goes silent

John Smith 19 Gold badge
FAIL

Remember there are 450 landline ISP's in the UK.

Of which the top 4 hold about 96% of the market.

I imagine *most* of the rest would welcome new business.

Finding them and getting connected might be more difficult

Finding a good list of all of them is seems difficult but this one has quite a lot of them. It's a start.

http://www.ispreview.co.uk/isp_list/

MIRACULOUS new AIRSHIP set to fly by 2013

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Thumb Up

Neat idea which keeps in mind pespective.

It seems when people have looked at the compressor idea they imagined *huge* compression ratios (100s of atm in the tank). This fellow has worked out its about changing the *average* density of the airship itself. Pumps the He into some double or triple strength gas bags, leave air in the rest and voila, down she goes.

Neat. Subtle and a good use of the greatly increased room temperature strength of various fibers.

On the topic of bullets. An old school friend told me about a demonstration they gave at his officer cadet course.

The fired some machine gun rounds (9mm) at a water soaked blanket hanging on a clothes line.

The bullets did not pass through.

The combination of heavy load (the wet blanket is 100x of times heavier than any bullet) which was free to fall backwards decelerated the bullet enough to retain it in the layers of blanket.

The builders of the Atlas launch vehicles (not the current design) used to demonstrate that hitting it *hard* with large mallet had no effect on it despite it only being kept stable by internal air pressure.

I think this sort of airship will use a tight woven Kevlar for its skin so as long as the air pressure is not too high normal rounds won't work (not after they have decelerated by being fired a km straight up. Incendiary *might* ignite the Kevlar and all bets are off with armor piercing but this is a *very* big structure. It would *sink*, not crass like an aircraft.

I wish them luck with the prototype. Personally I would have tapped the gas cells in the Zeppelin and used *them* for fuel. But what do I know.

Freeman Dyson: Shale gas is 'cheap and effective'

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

A note on Fracking USA.

The companies that do this have an *Exemption" from prosecution under the Clear Air, Clean Water and Clean Drinking water acts. Kind of like "contractors" in Iraq.

A little gift from Shrub to his good ol boy friends and *generous* supporters in the Oil & Gas industry. With a little help from Dick Cheyney.

With *no* fear of prosecution under this legislation is it any wonder they will pump the cheapest, nastiest crap they can find down a hole?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michael-brune/why-dick-cheney-sticks-to_b_764024.html

I'll take a wild guess that things are a *little* tougher in other parts of the world.

Is there anything to find on bin Laden's hard drive?

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

BTW Was anyone thinking "Patriot games"

At the description of watching the events in real time?

Which turned out to be complete nonsense.