* Posts by John Smith 19

16330 publicly visible posts • joined 10 Jun 2009

Ice age end was accelerated by CO2

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

Re: The $64Bn question *seemed* to be did warming preceed CO2 rise or vice versa?

"You don't need anything to alter the planet's motion, just the natural variances."

Most interesting. So it *should* be possible to identify the major forces affecting the *detailed* Earth movement and see if they are likely to combine in the same way?

I'd guess JPL would be the people to talk to about that. Their ability to do precision space probe planning suggests their models of the solar systems and perturbation forces are *far* more detailed than the stuff you'd find in an ordinary astronomy text book.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Meh

As I know what it feels like to be down voted but not responded to I will respond.

"The multitude of studies and scientific reports is giving us the impression, be it true or false, that the planet is changing quicker that we are capable of evolving."

Once humans started to control their environment rather than their environment controlling them evolution effectively ended. Although the increased efficiency of the people in the UK at metabolizing alcohol could be a counter argument, depending on weather you view disease control as part of the environment.

"People are scared and the governements and "funding researchers" are happy to play along with this idea."

Unqualified assertion. Some people are scared. Some not.

"We can all make a multitude of hypotheses concerning the future but at the end of the day the "Black Swan" will arrive and prove us all wrong. "

Assertion. In real science different hypotheses make different predictions which can be tested in time. It is possible that *no* hypothesis matches the final state but it's *very* unlikely, unless important factors are either not recognized or not recognizes *as* important. At the end of the day we are all dead anyway.

"We are trying to predict the unpredictable and people need to realise the difference between what is fact and what is scaremongering. "

Assertion. Which is some times called a doctrine of impotence.

Climate modelling is difficult but a substantial part of the science is *very* solid (in terms of atmospheric chemistry and physics). Building a detailed enough model without endless "fudge factors" and with enough resolution to pick up important effects and running fast enough to be *useful* is tough.

Strictly speaking when talking about future events *nothing* is fact and everything is a scare depending on what outcome you *want* to have happen. The *probability* that an outcome will happen makes quite a big difference.

The extreme case for this is a nuclear weapon *not* exploding as every single neutron exits the fuel *without* triggering a chain reaction. There is a very *small* possibility that this will happen. Want to bet your life on it?

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

The $64Bn question *seemed* to be did warming preceed CO2 rise or vice versa?

But this seems to be saying it did *but* that was kicked off by a shift in the Earths path (*tilt* of the Earth or actual orbit. I'm not clear).

So what force is *powerful* enough to alter a whole planet's motion?

And is it likely to happen *again*?

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Meh

Re: "Christian Science Monitor"

Read it. Then comment.

Then compare with SciAm, NewScientist etc.

PLASMA GERM BLASTER GUN invented for cleaning skin

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Astonishing that such thin films have so *many* layers of cells in them.

Makes you wonder how many layers there are sitting on the average human skin layer.

Butt his does sound like just the thing for a toilet that has not had proper attention for a while, does it not?

Browsium rescues HMRC from IE6 – and multimillion-pound bill

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Unhappy

Re: IE6 Compatibility

"How did HMRC make its entire IT infrastructure totally reliant on Microsoft IE6?"

The same way *other* UK govt departments did it.

1 outsourced application development contract at a time.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

Now this *should* allow departments to *gracefully* upgrade their apps out of IE6

Will HMRC do that?

Will they f**k.

HMRC *should* view this as a *short* term migration tool to let them upgrade their apps in a *controlled* manner with a nice sustainably sized time working through the migration list. Here's an idea. Stop making them browser *specific*.

But instead they will probably continue to run their IE6 specific stuff (and let me guess make sure their *new* staff know how to write IE6 specific code as well, perpetuating this s**t).

Like a Heroin addict on Methadone. They're still an addict.

UK net super-snooping clashes with Euro privacy law - expert

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Re: "You have nothing to fear if you have nothing to hide"

Unless you are familiar with Cardinal Richelieu, as the man behind the French throne sure the archetypal "representative of the state"

"Give me 6 lines from an honest man and I will find *something* to hang him." (my emphasis).

It's not about *justice*.

It's about the naked application of *power*.

NJ lab claims plasma fusion breakthrough

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"The theoretical production reactor would probably fit in a shipping container and produce about 5MW."

that sort of puts it on a par with gas turbine systems used by large companies or hospitals for on site power generation.

Obviously the fuel package is rather smaller and likely to last *considerably* longer.

And it's *much* smaller than the ITER or NIF designs.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Note *where* this is being reported.

This looks like a *peer* reviewed journal.

Which suggest some *serious* questions have been asked and answered satisfactorily.

Given this is one of the never-tried-because-on-paper-its-too-damm-tough fusion reactions this actually *is* quite a significant development on a budget of what I'll guess is the thin end of not much.

Yes it's early days. Yes energy extraction is likely to be difficult. Yes they are orders of magnitude away from decent containment times but just getting this far in a new *route* and a new fuel combination is a *major* achievement.

Thumbs up.

Blighty's new top supercomputer bagged by software boffins

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Coat

Worlds most expensive CASE tool?

Just asking.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Happy

Re: The tower

IIRC Daresbury is a particle physics laboratory and the tower is part of a Van Der Graf Generator.

Home Sec: Web snoop law will snare PAEDOS, TERRORISTS

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

It looks like the UK will be playing "Enemy of the State" for real.

There's at least one Jon Voigt character at the back of this s**t.

They are professional *bureaucrats*, not intelligence staff.

Sadly no one is penciled in for the Will Smith role.

Which will make *everyone* an EOTS.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Childcatcher

Re: So says Vic Toews, MP for Provencher (Manitoba, Canada)

Was he the one who got caught banging the baby sitter?

I feel sure his Australian counterpart (Conroy?) is probably sitting on something nasty.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

The data fetishists are still *very* much in place.

The collect-everything-all-the-time

Forever.

They want it all (and they want it *now).

Which BTW was the original motto of what became the Red Bridgades.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Re: @Thoguht

"He who sacrifices freedom for security deserves neither..."

A *lot* of people had this on their sig post 9/11.

Important to remember this one.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Is ms May one of the *four* Ministerst believed to actually *be* in charge of their departments?

Or is she one of those being used as a sock puppet by her senior civil servants?

What do you think?

The IMP was championed by the head of SOCA at the time (a PPE) the former head of MI6 (another PPE) and the Head of GCHQ (Degree in particle physics IIRC)

IE their *direct* understanding of what is actually *involved* (and it's cost and complexity) is precisely f**kall.

Dettica (formerly Smith Associates and a BAe Systems subsidiary) where looking to supply the hardware for the DPI. You can bet their snouts are still looking to get deeply into this trough.

And £2Bn is what the HMG is looking to pay the *ISP*s for the work.

The *real* cost for the new hardware, systems and staff at GCHQ (24/7/365 naturally) will be *secret* (so as no one is meant to know what it is no one will be embarrassed should it rise a bit. IIRC the average govt IT project is 2.5x the original estimate, IE 150% over budget, but I'm not current).

As for the "No single database" BS if they mandate a *standard* database layout which *all* ISP's have to clone it then becomes a problem in disseminating a common query to the set of local servers and aggregating the results for unified display.

Note they have been clear it's not *content* they are after (*yet* that is).

But remember that comms information would probably include any *data* fields passed back to the website.

Make it clear to your government.

99.999% of the time you have No need to ask, No need to know.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Flame

Re: PAEDOS == Bogeyman Of The Cyber-Industrial Complex

You forgot the Deep Packet Inspection kit those nice men from Dettica (BAe Systems subsidiary, and whose parent companies CEO enjoys unlimited access to the PM) who are *very* keen to outfit all those ISP machine rooms with their top of the line spiffy hardware.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Re: What have you missed ...

"A FALSE NEGATIVE could result in a real atrocity."

Or as Stalin put it "Better a 100 innocent men go to jail than one guilty man goes free."

Current thinking is Stalin's character was psychopathic.

So in fact the only person who *should* have been locked up was Stalin.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Joke

Re: The following statement is a joke - I repeat a joke

Teresa May channels Jacqui Smith.

It's not pretty.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Re: Paedophiles and Terrorists are varieties of criminal

"Well done to David Davis for having the balls to stand up to this nonsense. "

He's one of the few Conservatives with enough of an IT background to spot the BS for what it is.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Flame

Re: hmmmm...

""Only suspected terrorists, paedophiles or serious criminals will be investigated," said the Home Secretary."

So just *like* the justification for the RIPA.

BS then. Sounds like BS today.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

Re: what exactly is the difference...

"so, all the government has to do to be able to snoop on an 'ordinary person' is brand them a 'suspected terrorist'?"

No.

Your information is watched by *default*.

No branding necessary. Also no warrant. Of *any* kind. That's the change.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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Re: "Theresa May, writing in The Sun"

"I still honestly believe there is a demand out there for a Tory fetish/porn website. "

There's definitely something about that head-girl-at-her-public-school thing that I imagine has many a Tory supporter reaching for their gimp mask and eagerly submitting to a bit of extreme discipline.

Just make sure it's not hosted in the UK of course.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

Re: This is insane.

"Perhaps the spooks are as stupid as their political masters. ("

The *working* spooks probably are not.

These guys are high level *bureaucrats*.

In Enemy of the State this is more John Voigt than Jack Black or Seth Green

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Meh

Re: I shouldn't place your hopes in the European Courts

"This legislation is driven by the EU after all..."

Look a little closer into where the EU Data Retention Directive was drafted. The UK Home Office.

30-year-old global temperature predictions close to spot-on

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Interesting indeed.

TBH given the size of the whole graph and the error bands on that I'm not quite sure you can say that quite so unequally. Those peaks go up an awful *long* way.

Perhaps Hansen et all might dust off their old data sets?

But good point.

Anything equivalent from the denialist camp?

UK.gov to unveil reborn, renamed net-snoop plans in Queen's Speech

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Stop

Re: well of course its to catch terrorists

"We've already got laws for fighting terrorism. And as I recall, they worked pretty well against the IRA."

Rather like Blair calling for ID cards when the IRA (Remember them? A real terrorist group with an actual *political* agenda beyond "re-introduce the caliphate form of govt back into Saudi Arabia. "And if your reaction is WTF is that? you would not be alone) was just on the verge of disbanding.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

this is what happens when someone thinks Spooks is a documentary

Discovers it is not and decides "F**k it lets make it happen."

Britards you need to rescue your elected leaders from their state of fear.

Consider writing to your MP's. Tell them *why* it's expensive, it's *grossly* disproportionate, it'll dump even the *rudimentary* oversight of the Surveillance Commissioner in favor of *unlimited* dumping of every comms log (which is essentially what is being proposed) from *every* comms provider (remind them how f**king expensive this storage will be)

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

Re: "such an ambitious project will cost billions of pounds to implement"

"That is the trouble with delusional politicians and civil servants, they think they can do no wrong so don't see any problem implementing a system with potential to do enormous wrong."

They also assume the govt they are a part of will change into one they don't like.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Meh

"Since lots of web based email services now turn on https as the default how are they going to monitor who emails who when its encryped unless they require Google, yahoo, Microsoft etc to give them an backdoor to their servers."

You might like to see what's available under the PATRIOT act.

US/UK/Canada "intelligence" sharing has been a reality for *decades*.

You might have trouble getting a UK suspect out of the US without *evidence* but slipping a copy of pretty much anything is no big issue for the boys at Fort Meade.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

Re: Hmm

Well *officially* they are only holding the *routing* data, not the *contents*.

Not yet that is.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Meh

Re: Meet the new boss...

Wrong.

Meet the old bureaucrats.

Same as the new bureaucrats.

Different politicians. Same policy.

Common link? Let me think...

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

Re: More Pasties?

"Isn't this the directive which requires member states to oblige providers of publicly available electronic communications services or of public communications networks to retain traffic and location data for between six months and two years for the purpose of the investigation, detection and prosecution of serious crime?"

It is. And while it was passed when (IIRC) Germany was on the chair it was drafted in the UK.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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It was never going to be long before these scum re-emerged.

Technically ignorant and never having to spend a penny of their own money on their grandiose schemes.

It's amazing what you can come up with if you have a PPE, a little imagination and *no* understanding of technology.

James Murdoch QUITS BSkyB chairmanship

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Flame

The usual definition of "influencing" is > 20% stake.

So 41% is *more* than enough to say that while they do not *control* BSkyB they certainly have a big say in *any* decisions made.

I doubt this govt have the collective b***ocks to take the boy Murdoch down and Rebekah (?) Brooks is there to act as his personal human shield.

Coders' 'lives sucked out' by black-and-white Visual Studio 11

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

"Chording" ? Block caps titles? B&W color scheme?

It's a little appreciated fact that the reason that Windows (prior) to 3.0 did not allow overlapping windows was because Xerox's UI research *said* it was inefficient.

It seems MS have now moved on and had a go at implementing the editor that Bell Labs designed for Plan 9, one of whose ideas was to see what happens when you assume mice are *everywhere* rather than a special order item (and the terminal supports them). IIRC this was 3 button job and (bit like the one on the Alto PC at Xerox) used chording, *again* because UI research indicated it was more efficient (I can't remember if keyboard short cuts even *exist* in this), allowing you to do more powerful "stuff" for the same effort *provided* you're put in the effort to learn the moves (and accept Windows is your *sole* development environment).

Bell Labs editor does not seem to be used much outside of their environment.

John Smith 19 Gold badge
WTF?

So it's the IDE for an early 80's Apple Mac environment?

Funny. I thought Macintosh's supported color these days.

And WTF BLOCK CAPITALS.

Are you trying to be compatible with some IBM *mainframe* app from the 1960's?

tell me people did not have to *pay* to download this PoS.

Scientists refine smart self-assembling building blocks

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

self replicating tinkers toys were frist demonstrated in the late 1950s

Hopefully this tech will be incorporated into something more useful.

Terrafugia flies first prototype: Flying cars 'within a year'

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Happy

Re: Meanwhile...

"I am curious as to where they have done this, because the Netherlands is not a very gyro friendly place. But, seeing this prototype has a Dutch reg, maybe things are finally moving."

I wouldn't say that.

I've heard Top Gear is often to be found in the Netherlands.

Thin-client giant Wyse gobbled by Dell

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

server + multiple serial port card(s) + decent OS = dumb terminal server

And in fact Wyse hardware is *considerably* smarter than early era dumb terminals (which usually needed a "terminal controller" effectively time sharing a chunk of RAM and a *very* simple processor between a group of them).

Now the $64m question is..

Wyse had a pretty good rep for it's hardware. Will this new Dell division inherit it? Or will the new div inherit Dell's rep?

Which I'd suggest is a bit more Adam Sandler than Mark Whalberg.

Adam Sandler's cross-dresser shocker is Razzies stonker

John Smith 19 Gold badge
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excellent choice

I'll admit i was on the verge of *considering* going to see this one.

Sounds like I had a *very* lucky escape.

TBH when Adam Sandler is firing on all cylinders he can be pretty good. Little Nicky, Anger Management and The Water Boy all score highly.

But when he doesn't man does it pong bad. ..

Thumbs up for the Razzies spot on taste. And I'd like to start some early "buzz" on "Battleship," which IDK why is giving a distinct whiff of FAIL already.

TONIGHT, Let's ALL MAKE LOVE in SHOREDITCH

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Meh

A BOFH for the new Millenium?

Could be.

Steve Bong indeed.

Paedophiles ‘disguise’ child abuse pages as legit websites

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Unhappy

7 children rescued in 2 years. And how *exactly* can you report seeing CP without

getting arrested for seeing CP?

IIRC CEOP's budget is around £4m per year so that's about £1.14m per child saved (not all of them in the UK).

Meanwhile the average rate at which children die at their hands of their parents in England and Wales remains (according to an NSPCC report) around 1-2 a week, as it has done for 30 years. Not molested. Murdered.

Naturally CEOP/IWF funding will *never* be cut due to the media stoked resulting outcry ("Last line of defense against Internet pervs to be closed! No child will be safe online!" yadda yadda).

What is the *real* objective? Looking like you're doing something? Stopping people viewing this stuff? Saving the children whose abuse provides the raw material?

Who killed ITV Digital? Rupert Murdoch - but not the way you think

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Unhappy

Re: Orwellian Somnabulism

"Amazing that a company called "News Corporation" has been allowed to monopolise the media by destroying its enemies using shady tactics for the past 20 years or more."

Try nearer 50 years, since the 1960s.

Disappearing bees mystery: Boffins finger regicide pesticides

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

How about *several* causes for declines in bee nubers/species/colonies

But for a somewhat similar situation (and the agri-chemicals industries handling) you might like to look up the effects of organ-phopherous (also non-lethal, to farmers) sheep dips and the actual effects on some of them.

Curiously similar to those of Gulf war veterans exposed to nerve gases.

A good question *might* be what kills the Verona mite?

Climate-change scepticism must be 'treated', says enviro-sociologist

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So make people more obediant to propoganda or teach critical thinking and analsysis.

Anyone remember the phrase "The right to think for yourself is the only freedom anyone really has."

Multi-color laser created by UCSB scientists

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

Whenever I see an FEL why do I think

Smith Purcell radiation?

100 EARTH-LIKE PLANETS orbit stars WITHIN 30 LIGHT-YEARS!

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Joke

Nice little planet

Needs a bit of work but in a very up and coming area. Bags of potential for future growth.

Reasonable terms are available.

Actively cooled rocket primed for easy re-entry

John Smith 19 Gold badge
Boffin

This *could* be huge for Europe.

Here's why.

To lower the cost of return from Earth orbit you want to land it in your back yard. Europe is densely populated. Perhaps surprisingly ballistic capsules making lifting re-entries can be *very* accurate.

They are called ICBM warheads.

Unfortunately they only work because they use *substantial* amounts of ablatives to burn off and carry the heat away (and they are never going to land).

Outside Ablatives the *only* other candidate is Reinforced Carbon Carbon, which Germany is *very* good at (they were doing the nose cone for the cancelled X38 research vehicle).

But RCC is normally moulded in 1 piece. It's a PITA to mfg and somewhat fragile. essentially it's designed to fit *one* vehicle and nothing else. As the shape expands/contracts the Silicate protective coating has a tendency to crack.

The German development is to make "uncommitted" *sheets* of RCC, cut it into tiles and fit them to a shape (conceptually it's *exactly* like a computer graphics simulation of a 3d object by choosing the right polygons) which despite it's *very* angular looking nature has actually very good L/D characteristics, giving (potentially) good cross range without wings. It's also *lots* easier to grow the oxidation protection coats on 2d shapes (Carbon + O2 ->CO2, or "designer coal" as people have called it without the coat).

Want it bigger? Add more rings of polygons.

Want wings. Add new sections as appropriate.

But RCC is *heavy* relative to Shuttle tiles (that's 1 reason why it' s use was limited to *very* high temperature areas on the Shuttle) so going with active cooling lets them go with thinner tiles.

The Germans have pursued re-usable space transporters since the 1960's (Dornier & Messerschmidt were active) but heat was *always* the issue and RCC does curves *badly*

Frankfurt to *anywhere* within 90 mins (you have to go the long way round for *close* destinations. To the other side of the world it's nearer 45). anyone?

For some the idea underlying Eugen Sangers Silverbird have never been forgotten.