* Posts by Richard Plinston

2608 publicly visible posts • joined 27 Apr 2009

Numbers don't lie: Apple's ascent eviscerates Microsoft

Richard Plinston

Re: Apple treated differently than Microsoft.

> To complete the full circle, when the IBM 360 came out, IIRC IBM did not offer an OS with the machine. There was an active market in OS's for a while for the 360 architecture, until IBM came along with its offering

You have that exactly backwards.

The IBM 360 came with a selection of IBM OSes: TOS/360 (TapeOS), DOS/360 (DiskOS) or OS/360. Versions for smaller machines included BOS and BPS. These were all by IBM.

Other manufacturers copied the IBM 360 architecture, such as the RCA Spectra 70, ES EVM, Armdahl, and others. These either used IBM's OSes or cloned them.

Richard Plinston

Re: @AC: "Linux kernel Retro"

> run optimally on devices that have only 512KB of RAM

Not since MS-DOS 2.1 has anything from Microsoft tried running in such a small amount of RAM.

Richard Plinston

Re: Eviscerated?

> Apple remind me of the wash powder adverts "this one is better than our last one which was lets be honest, crap"

Did Microsoft make wash powder too? That sounds just like them:

"Windows 95 gets rid of the hated 3.1 interface"

"Windows NT failed 'the Ballmer Boys test'"

They didn't need to criticize Vista when 7 came out.

Bill Gates: iPad is OK, but what Apple really needs is a SURFACE

Richard Plinston

Re: Surface

> Win RT will ship with a full version of MS Office Home & Student.

Win RT will ship with a full preview version of MS Office RT Home & Student.

The features, or lack of them, in 'Office RT' have not been disclosed. It is also not explained what the 'preview' indicates. Will this merely be a beta to be later updated, or is it like a 'trial' version which will expire and require purchasing to keep it working ?

There were some 'dual boot Windows 7/Android' tablets on sale here a year or so ago at iPad prices. The small print stated that Windows and Office were trial versions that required licence purchase. So after a couple of months one would shell out again, doubling the price.

Richard Plinston

Re: Disaster waiting to happen.

> not all iPhone apps work on an iPad

If an app does not work on an iPad then will the app store download it to one ?

Richard Plinston

Re: Disaster waiting to happen.

> Now MS users are "cretinous." I sense a No True Scotsman lurking in the depths of your argument.

And you have a 'Straw Man' in yours.

The statement clearly has 'cretinous users' as a subset of all users. 'cretinous users' will believe that Windows RT should run all Windows software. If you do not believe that then you may be a 'non-cretinous user' (but still confused about logic fallacies).

Richard Plinston
FAIL

VapourWare working

> until this announcement I was seriously thinking about getting a Samsung Series Seven slate

> I am now waiting for the Surface pro

In the 80s and 90s Microsoft used vapourware to stop people buying the competition and wait while MS wrote their own product.

Now they use the same tactic to stop people buying Windows machines. They did this to Nokia as well. With each new version of WP7 products they announced 'wait for the next version'. The most recent is 'Wait for Apollo/WP8 (and don't buy current Nokias because they won't get this)'.

Obviously MS announced Surface to take the heat from iPad3, iPad7.8 and Google's tablet. It is failing.

Richard Plinston

Re: He's dead wrong...

> And as the WindowsRT version is to be priced competitively with the iPad apparently,

It was implied that the Surface RT was to be priced the same as an existing tablet, possibly the same as an iPad3 or top Samsung. Given that OEMs were reluctant to make these because of the cost, it is likely that MS may be subsidizing these, or at least not charging themselves the $80 licence fee.

The surface RT is the first ARM product with 'full' Windows and this is the first of the rewritten kernel. The app store is unproven. This means that even if it is the same price as an iPad3 it is nowhere near 'competitive'.

Anyway Apple can easily drop iPad2 prices and still be profitable.

> and the Pro version to be priced competitively with Ultrabooks,

It may be the same price but that does not make it 'competitive'. Ultrabooks are a style item, Surface is not.

Anyway, Surface will not be out for 2 or 3 quarters, other companies will not sit on their hands waiting for MS to take [some of] the market. That is in fact what Nokia complained about: "We could have sold more if the competition shut down development".

What is the Nokia Secret Plan if Windows 8 isn't Windows gr8?

Richard Plinston

Re: Microsoft Windows Image Problem.

> Windows might be a associated with a lot of things but reliability certainly isn't one of them ...

Windows 8 has been said to be a rewrite of the kernel to make it modular. Any release will be a beta until SP2.

Windows RT is not only based on that rewritten kernel, but is on hardware and configurations (dual core SoCs) that have not been used by Microsoft before. This will be a double beta of both the kernel and of the implementation.

Windows Phone 8 is apparently a derivative of Windows RT and will be running on the dual core SoCs plus will have phone and other features distinct from RT and different than WP7. A triple beta.

Richard Plinston

Re: Microsoft have said 100 times that windows phone 7.5 apps will work in in Windows 8?

> Considering I can run Win95 games on Win7

More relevant is: could you run WM6.5 apps on WP7 ?

And BTW, does that mean you have been wasting your life playing computer games for 17 years now ?

Microsoft sets the price for a Windows 8 upgrade at $40

Richard Plinston

Re: I upgraded from Win 7 to openSUSE...

> And how are your games running?

> My time is money and free is too expensive ...

My time is is too valuable to waste it playing games.

Acer big cheese: Microsoft Surface sales will be 'superficial'

Richard Plinston

Re: Any bets?

> See the (hands-on) review at

While there is a line that says 'hands on' (Hands on: Windows 8 review) it is a link to a completely different review. The piece itself is just fluff and may have been written by Microsoft.

For example it says that the magnetic keyboard/cover is " in no way similar to any competitor idea... ", yet it is just a poor copy of what Logitech and others have done for iPad.

Richard Plinston

Re: Any bets?

> Apparently you CAN use it on your lap, among other things.

I see that it can be set on one's lap, but the question was: can it be _used_ on the lap. The photo shows that the screen angle is quite wrong for lap use, far too upright. The floppy hinge for the keyboard will limit its ability to add stability and any attempt at swiping the screen will result in disaster.

I suspect that it may not fit well on airline seat tables. The floppy hinge would not help there if the keyboard overhangs the front of the table, and the fixed screen angle would conflict with the seat in front.

As for portrait mode this may have some small usage, but the keyboard can only be connected in landscape mode which would be limiting. And 16:9 is just wrong for portrait.

Richard Plinston

Re: the keyboard has got potential

> However these keyboards really have some style and show some innovations.

The keyboards use a connector with a floppy connection. This has several disadvantages that I see:

* They only work in landscape mode.

* They do not support the screen unit, surface with keyboard will not be usable on your lap.

* They must be connected to be usable, while bluetooth or USB keyboards are not locked to the unit.

The are only the usual 'microsoft innovation', copying what others have done.

Since when has neon colours been 'style', maybe in the 1950s.

http://reviews.cnet.com/8301-31747_7-20091329-243/keyboarding-your-ipad-best-keyboard-cases/

Microsoft's Surface plan means the world belongs to Android now

Richard Plinston

> claiming Ferrari need to start selling in the sub $50,000 market

http://www.carmagazine.co.uk/news/search-results/first-official-pictures/abarth-695-tributo-ferrari/

Microsoft: no plans to make own phones

Richard Plinston

Re: HP's killing fields

The question arises as to _who_ killed HP's WebOS.

When Netbooks could not run Vista they could use Linux without being threatened by removal of MS's 'loyalty' discounts across _all_ products. MS fixed that by reviving XP just for those devices.

ARM tablets, such as HP's WebOS ones, had a similar dispensation until MS decided that it could do a 'Windows on ARM', at which point 'loyal' customers (OEMs) would of course want to discard any 'inferior' OS and make tablets with the only one and true OS: WOA/Windows RT.

MS will be rattling discount sabres at Samsung and ASUS.

Why I love Microsoft’s vapourware tablet

Richard Plinston

Re: Conundrum

> Sell that as a work laptop and users can take it home in the evening (perhaps just the screen) and have their tablet for free. Metro+free probably trumps ipad+expensive for most people.

Why do you think that it would be 'for free'. A touch screen is more expensive, a separate 'screen + atom' that separates from the base would be even more expensive. Microsoft would want two licences as there are two CPUs which would operate as separate devices.

Anyway most work computers that I come across are >20", I have 24". Not useful as a tablet, or for Metro. The reason that Surface has a keyboard is that most Windows x86 software is usable primarily with a keyboard and mouse, not with touch.

You could do well in the marketing dept at Microsoft, no worse than the current lot.

Richard Plinston

Re: We need a new name for large tablets with keyboards...

> How about the name "laptop"?

> Any objections?

Yes, The Surface devices will never be suitable for your lap. The distribution of weight is wrong, the stand is unworkable and the keyboard attachment is floppy.

'Tabletop' perhaps.

Richard Plinston

Re: The Crash

> it has the keyboard, etc. so it's not exactly an iPad equivalent.

It appears that it will have a choice of keyboards, a 3mm touch or a 5mm moving key. This implies that they will be options, or accessories, and not in the basic price of the units. This means that they will be priced at (iPad3 price) + keyboard for RT or (Ultrabook price) + keyboard for Pro.

iPads can have keyboards. Bluetooth ones allow the unit to be landscape or portrait, and for the keyboard to be used more conveniently than locked to the screen unit.

http://reviews.cnet.com/8301-31747_7-20091329-243/keyboarding-your-ipad-best-keyboard-cases/

Microsoft set to 'do a Nexus' with its Surface tablet

Richard Plinston

Re: the Arm version includes Office

> the Arm version includes Office

The ARM version includes "Office 2013 RT Preview".

'RT' may indicate that this is a reduced functionality version that is some, or much, less than the usual 'Office'. The 'Preview' may indicate that it is a trial version that will expire and require an actual licence to be purchased.

A year or two ago there were some Win7 tablets being sold. They dual booted Android or Win7 and has Office installed (they came with keyboard in a folder). Win7 and Office were "trial versions". While the price was about that of an iPad it would require another equal amount in 90 days to keep Win7 and Office running.

Surface: Because Microsoft does so well making hardware?

Richard Plinston

Re: Who wants to bet its a toaster?

> it has an all round "vent"

We won't expect to see a 'ruggedized' version of it that is water and drop proof, then.

Richard Plinston

Re: Availability and outlets

> same time as Windows 8 which is 99% looking likely to be October/November

When Windows 95 looked like it may get very late and miss the holiday buying spree, Gates was alleged to say "Windows 95 will be released before Christmas, but we may have to delay December by a couple of months".

Richard Plinston

Re: A bad time for MicroSoft

> you can't ignore that Microsoft also has a loyal base of followers, a MUCH bigger base, and they are just as passionate and cult like

That's why Android has only a 60% share of the smartphone market. Without the huge cult like follower base of Microsoft they could have as much as 61%.

Richard Plinston

Re: Who is going to sell it?

> You have no idea if this will be true so why say it?

https://allthingsd.com/20120618/coming-up-live-microsofts-tablet-event-from-las-milk-studios/

"""Microsoft says Surface will be sold in __its__ retail stores and via __Microsoft’s__ online stores."""

(emphasis mine)

Richard Plinston

Re: EDLIN was from IBM.

> EDLIN was from IBM.

Completely wrong.

"""Edlin was created by Tim Paterson in two weeks in 1980, and was expected to have a six-month shelf life."""

Richard Plinston

Re: Touch v Desktop

> by bolting the touch OS into the desktop

That isn't to fix fragmentation. The strategy is to make Metro "the most familiar UI on the planet" (said by MS spokesman). By forcing it down your throats you will eventually love it and demand this UI on your phone and on your tablet.

This will fail because they forgot that releasing Windows 8 does not make all XP and 7 users automatically run Metro. An emergency, critical, unavoidable SP pack will fix that.

Richard Plinston

Re: Who is going to sell it?

> I will get it from John Lewis

No you won't.

> I'll go to PC world to try it one out

> buy it from either them or Scan.

No you won't.

They will be available in Microsoft shops or online from Microsoft. There will be no margin for anyone else to take a cut.

Richard Plinston

Re: how have they screwed up?

> Unlike the HP Touchpad though I don't expect MS to give up after one iteration

It is more than likely that HP 'gave up' because Microsoft, after having just announced they were doing WOA, told HP that making non-Windows tablets was being disloyal and that discounts were being re-evaluated.

Just like netbooks really where MS brought XP back alive just to kill off Linux ones.

Microsoft Surface: Join the Windows 8 teardown

Richard Plinston

Re: This is soooo MSFT

> You think it's suddenly going to You think it's suddenly going to become incompatible with email, or Outlook or Word??

Microsoft's business plan with Word for many years was to bring out new versions with new file formats so that existing users _did_ "suddenly .. become incompatible with .. Word", and thus have to go out and buy the new version. Don't think that this won't happen again.

Richard Plinston

Re: This is soooo MSFT

Your WP7 phone just became obsolete. MS has announced WP8 and there will be no upgrades of WP7 phones to WP8.

Back in the 80s and 90s MS relied on vapourware to delay people buying stuff until MS could write their own. Some of this never turned up, but never mind, the targets that MS aimed out were starved of sales while everyone waited for MS's product.

MS has been trying that tactic with mobile. It has failed because the targets of its vapourware are its own. With WM6 it said that 'the next version will be soon'. Then they delivered WM6.5 and talked about WP7. WP7 was short a few features so it was 'wait for 7.1', then 'wait for 7.5'. But they started discussing 'Apollo' and 'SuperPhone' as being 'this year'. Now they have announced WP8 which they claim will be this year. Who would buy a WP7.5 now they know it is already a dead product ?

Obviously 'Surface' was announced to deflect Google's tablet and to slow down iPad and Android until MS's can be evaluated. But that may be 6 months for ARM and several more until the x86 PRO.

As these are 0.9 versions you should also wait for SP2 or version 3.

Richard Plinston

Re: whats the point?

> it's not really a competitor to the iPad, it's not entirely an ultrabook

What MS have said about pricing is that the RT will be priced around that of ARM tablets (ie iPad3 or top Galaxy) while the PRO will be about the price of an Ultrabook.

So you are correct: it won't be competitive with iPad and it's not entirely an ultrabook, just the price.

Richard Plinston

Re: Presumably, since its ARM

> Libre Office will run on it

Windows RT, and Metro applications on Windows Pro, can _only_ source applications from Microsoft's store. I don't think that you will find Libre Office there.

I did run OpenOffice on my Nokia N800. Interesting, but it did need a keyboard to work properly. The N810 had a slide out kb. With the N800 I could use a USB kb, or Bluetooth, but that wouldn't fit in my pocket.

Richard Plinston

Re: 30 year history

Microsoft produced a Z80 softcard for the Apple ][ in 1980 in conjunction with SCP (who 'wrote' QDOS). This ran DRI's CP/M. Both MS and SCP were full DRI OEMs for CP/M so they had as full an access to CP/M internals as anyone could get.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Z-80_SoftCard

"""the SoftCard was Microsoft's number one revenue source in 1980."""

Microsoft's uncloaks Phone 8 developer preview

Richard Plinston

Re: WP7 Apps on WP8

> While WP7 apps are supposed to run on WP8,

WP7 apps work in a fixed 800x480 screen size (or 480x320). So what will happen on a 1280x768 WP8, or 1920x1080 Surface ?

Will it just use 800x480 or be scaled or simply have the elements repositioned ?

100,000 apps may have to be rewritten.

Microsoft takes on tablets with keyboard-equipped Surface

Richard Plinston

Re: "Microsoft has worked hard to up the hype this launch"

> I'm pretty sure the PRO version will also support

I'm pretty sure that Microsoft have worked hard to stop other OSes running on these devices. Their strategy is that you will require several devices and link them through their cloudy Azure.

The Pro will not be running a top line Intel chip, it will be running a Medway or similar and this may not support hypervisors, or indeed may not even have some features deliberately to stop other OSes running. For example it could have a completely undocumented GPU.

Richard Plinston

Re: There's something interesting here...

> therefore it's effectively a laptop with a detachable touchscreen

You won't be using one on your lap with the keyboard. A laptop holds its screen rigidly and the weight is in the base. A 'Surface' has a loose joint to the keyboard and the weight is in the screen unit which then requires a prop. It could only be used on a table or similar.

It is also a 10" laptop, well netbook actually, that will cost (the x86 one) like a 15" or 17" Ultrabook. You could buy a laptop _and_ an iPad for the price of one of these.

Richard Plinston

Re: I think MS does get it

> And yes Office is a plus

Surface Pro does not come with Office. You will have to buy it at usual prices.

Surface RT (ARM) does come with "Office RT Preview". This is not the full Office that you would find on an x86 machine. The 'Preview' is also unclarified, it may be a version that expires and requires buying of the usable version later, just as 'free trial' versions do.

Richard Plinston

Re: coool just what we always needed

> If I can replace desktop, laptop and tablet with one device

Sorry, but you have failed the Microsoft marketing test.

Metro on desktops, surface, WP8 and cloudy Azure is about buying _all_three_ devices and having them connected.

How else will Microsoft have increased revenue over the next few years. "One device" is the way to ruination (of Microsoft).

Richard Plinston

Re: VaporMg-Ware

> particularly the x86

Would you really want a 'fry an egg' Intel CPU and a 'red ring of death' power supply in a *Magnesium* case ?

These could be the next stealth terrorist weapon.

Richard Plinston

Re: good for consumers - innovation and choice?

> it is bound to help drive innovation and choice.

Microsoft driving 'innovation and choice' ? I don't think so.

Metro is compulsory on Windows 8, it may make consumers choose something else, or choose to keep XP/7.

MS's have effectively killed Nokia's Meego and Meltemi. They will kill off Symbian ans S40 as soon as possible.

It is likely that HP dumped WebOS because MS threatened to remove discounts on all products for being 'disloyal'. Same with Netbooks.

Richard Plinston

Re: Whats with the keyboard?

Many Windows x86 applications won't work well with touch, they require keyboards and mouse (or touch pad substitute). On screen keyboard may well just get in the way because the app was not designed to share the screen with the input device.

Richard Plinston

Re: BAU for MS then?

> RT includes Office pre-installed (i.e. "for free")

Microsoft say that it includes "Office RT Preview".

We don't know whether 'Preview' is just an early version that will be upgraded 'for free' or whether it is a 'trial' version that will expire and require to buy a real version.

We also don't know what feature downgrades that 'Office RT' has when compared to 'Office'.

What we do know is that the changes of getting Firefox, OpenOffice, etc is approx. nil.

Richard Plinston

Re: So I need a desk to set it on?

Exactly, so it doesn't complete with iPad and Android tablets. It competes against netbooks and possibly other transformers.

Richard Plinston

Re: BAU for MS then?

"""We (microsoft) are coming and we are going to smash your business to smithereens"""

It is unlikely that either the Windows 8 or the RT will affect iPad at all. The keyboard is there because most Windows applications (non-Metro) will _require_ keyboard and (mouse substitute) trackpad. This means that they will not work well as laptops (on lap). They will not work well without the keyboard. They need to be on a desk.

The business that they will smash is the MS OEMs. Those intending to build Windows 8 or RT tablets will now give up. HP's WebOS has already been smashed, probably by MS threatening to remove discounts on all Microsoft products.

It is unlikely that these will smash Android tablets. The reason for buying Windows is to run Windows programs. RT won't do that so there is no reason to not just buy Android. x86 will be much more expensive (Ultrabook prices) but will have small 10" screen. Just like netbooks people will prefer a smallish (15") full facility laptop for much less money.

Richard Plinston

Office 'Preview'

"""Surface for Windows RT includes Office Home & Student 2013 RT Preview"""

What does the 'Preview' signify ? That it will expire and users will need to buy a real version? Or is it just that it won't work very well.

It also may be that 'Office RT' will be reduced facilities compared to x86 Office.

Richard Plinston

VaporMg-Ware

Microsoft is returning to its roots with 'Vapor'. It used VaporWare to stop people buying competitive products to give itself time to write something that would do the same job.

Now it is using VaporMg-Ware in an effort to stop people buying iPad and Android tablets until it can get its own out the door.

Just remember that when they do eventually arrive they will be the 0.9 version.

Meanwhile OEMs will stop making any Windows 8 tablets and HP will go back to WebOS, but will include Android compatibility.

Microsoft plots entry into tablet trade

Richard Plinston

> I'm sure all the OEMs are going to love that MS are producing their own tablet

It seems that the OEMs had already decided that with the $85 cost of Windows RT (granted is has some version of Office, probably a 'starter' edition) and design costs they could not build tablets that matched iPads without being far more expensive.

Anyway Apple can afford to cut prices yet again, especially on iPad2 where design costs were amortised long ago.

With x86 tablets there is no way that an OEM could get the component costs down to the price of an equivalent iPad let alone have software or profit. And it is likely that Windows 8 will require even more hardware than that to run at a competitive speed.

So I don't think that OEMs will be upset about not having Windows tablets, though I think that HP may be spitting tacks that it dumped WebOS for this crap.

Richard Plinston

Re: What if extension...

> every PC with Windows 8 ships with a tablet

Making them have two Metro interfaces when no one wants even one. It would also make them more expensive than an Apple Mac, I can see that working - not.

There may be a point to having a mobile device able to run both as a phone and/or tablet and as a desktop OS when plugged into a TV (HDMI) or base station. Then your data would be available. MS wouldn't do that, they want you to buy a Windows 8 desktop _and_ a Windows RT tablet _and_ a WP8 phone and use their cloud to shuffle data. That is how they will generate revenue growth.

Apple, Google and OEMs, Ubuntu, etc _will_ combine their phone/tablet and a desktop OS so that you only need one.

Richard Plinston

Re: User accounts

> Windows 8 has proper user accounts

I very much doubt that WOA/Windows RT does.

Windows Metro Maoist cadres reach desktop, pound it flat

Richard Plinston

Re: At Microsoft they are on some heavy drugs...

> MetroUI is a failure already

Microsoft eventually saw that iPad was not just a short term fashion and had predictions that desktop was falling and mobile was the future of all computing.

They had failed with their own pen and tablet products and saw WP7 failing. Redoing the same thing would fail again. They needed to create their own new future products. Copying Apple and Android would make them also-rans. They needed different and had spent millions on graphics consultants and UI specialists to get WP7. They saw the only problem as lack of familiarity.

The solution was to make Metro "the most familiar UI" (as said by MS). The way to do that is to leverage the desktop monopoly and force Metro down users throats until they like it. Then they will _demand_ that their tablets and phones have the same UI and not that 'rubbishy old-fashioned Asomething junk'.

Of course they forgot that making Windows 8 did not automatically update all the 7 an XP users, but a compulsory high-security urgent update will do that. SP8 will not be avoided, even if you have updates off and no internet access.

You _will_ like it, by order.