* Posts by Alan Brown

15091 publicly visible posts • joined 8 Feb 2008

Slap visibility beacons on bikes so they can chat to auto autos, says trade body

Alan Brown Silver badge

Uh yeah, right

And while you're at it, put beacons on moose, cows and pedestrians too.

I've already posted elsewhere about why USA-programmed road robots are inherently unsafe due to cultural assumptions ingrained by a century of lobbying by the motor industry that have resulted in road priority rules that thankfully haven't spread much beyond those shores.

In some parts of the world if a motorist runs someone over, bystanders will beat him or her to death (the motorist, not the traffic victim). It makes for far more cautious driving.

Galileo, Galileo, Galileo, off you go: Snout of UK space forcibly removed from EU satellite trough

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: "Hopefully not a sign of things to come for the UK space industry"

"If you have a language, a masters degree , then you must go now to start establishing rights, you will likely only get a working residence card for a single EU country after a few years of residence."

Some of the most critical staff in the space arena have neither. Engineering matters just as much as the theory.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: "Hopefully not a sign of things to come for the UK space industry"

"If you work with this stuff in Stevenage (BAE) or even at Surrey Uni in Guildford then you should be wary about making long term plans."

Or at any of the UK's other space science establishments. (MSSL, RAL, Harwell, etc)

The future of most ESA-partnered programs appears doubtful, despite soothing noises from Whitehall. The UK has been felt to be laggardly in its contributions for a long time and this is a perfect opportunity to get rid of it. The academics can easily find work elsewhere but engineering staff are a lot harder to replace or rehome and their knowledge plus experience is absolutely critical. Lose them and you put things back 20+ years.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: The Swiss are in it

"Now England will pay a price for such self-serving petty politics, and it is anyone's guess how united the kingdom will be when the dust finishes settling."

If history is any guide, it's worth remembering that in 1971 the UK was Europe's sick man, with an economy down the shitter and a population that was in freefall - with the skilled and talented leaving in droves (leaving the unskilled and untalented behind - who make up large tracts of the aging population that voted "leave"). Joining the EU saved the country, but at cost of tearing up all existing trade agreements with former colonies, many of whom suffered very badly as a result.

Memories are long. Mother England is a distant memory. New trade agreements may be brokered, but Boris and his Etonian chums are about to find out that when you're over a barrel, the terms negotiated will not be in your favour. This isn't the old days of empire and the British Army/British Navy can't come in to enforce Pax Brittania to keep those pesky natives down and get trade deals on terms which suit the Empire.

Uber's disturbing fatal self-driving car crash, a new common sense challenge for AI, and Facebook's evil algorithms

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: That video has been doctored

"I highly doubt that any recent vehicle has such abysmal lighting abilities "

It doesn't, but the footage looks more or less what the quality of dashcam videos from my system look like under zero external lighting conditions. I can usually see twice or further than the camera can. They simply can't handle the dynamic range.

Those headlights weren't dipped either, but that camera quality is about what you'd expect from a standard dashcam. They're simply not that great under rural lighting conditions, especially with those tiny lenses out front.

Alan Brown Silver badge

"The thing with this crash is it's one of the simpler situations that a self driving car should be able to deal with, yet it failed so spectacularly"

A large part of this is cultural norms. I've written about this in detail elsewhere.

The short version is: 'A century of lobbying has made the USA a country which is extremely pedestrian hostile, with road rules that essentially prohibit pedestrians on the road in most states and dictate "the pedestrian shall give way to the vehicle"

That gives rise to an assumption that pedestrians won't be on the road except where authorised, which in turn leads to programming assumptions that they don't need to be scanned for and taken into account.'

This is how one creates a fleet of robotic killing machines. No malice needed, just no notice taken of obstacles. It could have been a pedestrian, or just as easily it could have been a cow - in which case we'd be reading about an Uber driver and passenger being killed.

The USA authorities have compounded the problem by blaming the victim for crossing the road - something that in most countries is perfectly legal and she did so perfectly safely. The instruments will have picked her up quite well, but the ROBOT failed to react. This is a programming fuck up and the best thing that can happen right now is for insurance companies to decline to cover any self-driving vehicle developers unless they can demonstrate their abilities to cope with these most basic of scenarios BEFORE they're let loose on public roads.

(I'm thinking that the obstacle course from "Britain's worst drivers" would be a good _starting_ point for them to pass.)

NAND chips are going to stay too pricey for flash to slit disk's throat...

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Reliability of SSD vs spinning metal?

"Has anyone assessed the reliability improvements in solid state drives?"

Firstly, the vast majority of data access is write once read mostly (or even read occasionally), with some bursts of "read many")

SSDs faced with this kind of usage pattern do just fine thanks - MUCH better than HDDs do.

This means the driving factors for SSDs moving into the bulk storage market become longevity (reliability) and power consumption (Wh/TB as one commenter put it).

If I can stick my big arrays into MAID mode with a sub 5 minute "spindown" time, know that when poked they'll respond in less than 3 seconds, be immune to rack vibrration - AND live a decade or more, then they're going to cost me a lot less than spinning rust over the same period just in drive replacements and probably 1/10 as much in power consumption.

This is the part that Gartner failed to take into account.

User asked why CTRL-ALT-DEL restarted PC instead of opening apps

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: All together now:

"640k ought to be enough for everybody"

And 4 billion IP addresses ought to be enough whilst we wait for IPX to be released.

Didn't you ever wonder why there's no IPv5?

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Feeling Old...

"Because every packet was a broadcast. In DooM 1.0 you could have 3 computers on a network act as left / front / right views, so everything was broadcast."

Doom wasn't the only thing doing this.

NetBeui was wire broadcast. Netbeui over TCP/IP was "only" network broadcast. Any machine with netbeui installed would prefer to use it over all other protocols.

This is one of the reasons why edge switches have broadcast limit settings per port.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Feeling Old...

"Then the config guy cheerfully told me he'd run "memmaker"* to ensure DOS loaded the network stuff optimally."

And you laughed as you copied the old config in from backups elswehere on the disk.

Except you didn't do that, did you?

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Feeling Old...

"And a card to connect the networking!"

As one of the magazines of the day put it (more or less)

One day the PC makers woke up to find a 900 Pound Gorilla sitting on their lawn. The "PC XT" was laughably slow and had a derisory amount of memory, didn't have sound or graphics and literally everything was an added-cost plugin extra. But what it did have was three magic letters on the front: "IBM"

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Feeling Old...

If you're even older you'll remember it as a D&D games company

SpaceX blasted massive plasma hole in Earth's ionosphere

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Compare and contrast

"Using modern clean-warhead tech"

Where exactly do you think "modern clean warhead tech" came from and was developed for? (which ended up being put into MIRVs)

"How does a couple of dozen fireworks like F9 compare with a single nuclear-pulse Orion launch?"

According to various documentaries you'd need _at least_ 2 dozen atmospheric nuclear bursts to get Orion launched in addition to the initial few groundbursts (one on the ground, the next few so close they may as well be). The estimate was 1-3 deaths from atmospheric radiation effect per launch, which was felt to be too many. Are you up for that?

JFK killed Orion because the twits in the miliitary mocked up a fully armoured fortress in space capable of tossing nuclear bombs back at the ground and showed that to him instead of the intended use of an outerplanetary exploration vessel. He was horrified and stopped it the next day. The 1963 atmospheric nuclear weapons test ban sealed its fate.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: One meter error?

"which for GPS is geocentric and defined to withing just one metre."

Which for _NAVSTAR_ GPS is defined to within 1 metre.

Gallileo, Beidou and Glonass GPS systems all have different (and usually stricter) accuracy statements. The high precision systems use them all as well as ground based signals.

Even civilian smartphone handset use L2/Q2 signals these days - from all the above, as well as the Japanese and Indian constellations where available.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: One meter error?

If you need less than 1 metre accuracy you're not _just_ going to be relying on L1 band GPS, nor will you be solely using space-based positioning systems.

Alan Brown Silver badge

"Which, when you factor in the cost of helium, would still make it not really worthwhile. "

IF we had a helium economy then that might change.

We could have had access to massive quantities of bloody cheap helium for the last 40 years if Richard Nixon hadn't killed off the Oak Ridge Molten Salt Reactor experiments for political reasons, then outlawed any and all further research in order to ensure the still twitching corpse stayed in its grave (look it up, molten salt nuclear activity is explicitly outlawed in the USA)

Anything using molten sodium as a coolant ("no, honestly, we can assure you it won't catch fire this time") is a bad idea from the outset - just ask the Japanese about what happened at Monju - and that didn't even involve any radioactive material.

Alan Brown Silver badge

The huge rocket is primarily for speed, not altitude. The speed given by a launch aircraft is usually achieved by most rockets in less than 30 seconds and altitude in less than 2 minutes

Aircraft launches have huge payload to orbit penalties because the maximum payload of the aircraft is the _gross_ mass of the fully fuelled rocket. The only advantage they offer is the ability to put very small payloads in a desired orbit relatively quickly and it's not that much of an advantage considering the massive cost penalties incurred.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Space Fountain!

"The great advantage is that we could build one with today's technology."

We could build a Lofstrom loop too.

"The great disadvantage is that it collapses if you turn off the power."

Ditto

Tiangong-1 re-entry window shrinks: Duck from March 30 to April 3

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Re. Tiangone 1

"The most dangerous parts are the OMU tanks (full of UDMH) "

One would assume that one of the last commands sent would be "fire the bloody thrusters and vent all the hydrazine". Having it tumbling would make it more likely to break up.

There really should be a policy of passively activated (heat?) demolition charges on large orbiting objects in case of uncontrollable reentry, even if that means only installing them after the last manned mission leaves (for manned orbiting missions)

ENVIsat is proving to be similarly problematic. Hubble will be an even bigger issue.

Skylab only broke up at 10km altitude and lots of big bits made it to the ground. In particular the 300kg door of the 1 ton (lead lined) aluminium film safe made it all the way to the ground along with the things you'd expect to "waft" like lightweight titanium tanks

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Prediction

"I have had a <£100 value parcel stuck in clearing for well over a week."

My record is a £10 item in there for over a month. I think they lost it down the back of the sofa for a while.

US watchdog: Scam scammers scamming scammed in scam scam

Alan Brown Silver badge

"And people still fall for the phone call from Microsoft... <sigh>"

When those calls hit $orkplace, people forward them to the helldesk.

We have fun stringing them along for a while, whilst reading back responses from a VMS console.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Not a new scam.

Of course,. If you're stupid enough to fall for it once, you're usually stupid enough to fall for it multiple times.

Remember: Half the population has an IQ below 100.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: "The thing to know is that you cannot apply for a refund by email."

"No, it'll die of convenience."

And an inadequately sanitised telephone.

BOFH: Give me a lever long enough and a fool, I mean a fulcrum and ....

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Best in a long time..

"with 200 people thinking I'm nuts..."

Just say "This week's BOFH" and you'll usually get a chorus of "oh right"

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: cellphone, mobile, handy

"small countries next to big ones"

For some values of "next to"

That small stretch of water in between Australia and New Zealand represents the same distance you'll find between London and Moscow.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: cellphone, mobile, handy

"trousers is, essentially, a subset of pants."

Given that pants is an abbreviation of "Pantaloons", he's absolutely correct.

Quite _why_ the British universally equate pants as underwear is mysterious. Yes, I know "underpants", the question is how it got here from there and only in the last 40 years or so.

("Cellphone" comes from "cellular mobile telephone" -> "Cellular phone" in an era where non-cellular ones were visible to the masses (I had one, it was awful - but not as bad as WinCE phones). Euro-types called dumb mobiles "Handys" or "Handyphones")

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Buzzword Bingo

"We continued that game for 3 weeks until out cfo intervened and the meetings stopped."

But did the consultants?

UK watchdog finally gets search warrant for Cambridge Analytica's totally not empty offices

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: A ruse by any other name smells like a cheat

"crates hastily removed on Monday, shamelessly under the journalists noses"

Journalists who apparently didn't think to follow them.

"highlights that the ICO should no longer be required to obtain a warrant."

Do you honestly think that the reason the ICO is like this isn't by design?

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Given the time it's take to get the warrant...

"I'm guessing the only way the ICO can pin this one is to go through CA's backup policy"

Why would the ICO _want_ to do that?

UK's data watchdog seizes suspected Scottish nuisance caller's kit

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Wait wut?

" if you look at the stats for disqualifications they usually get about 10 years for that! "

I wonder how many just substitute the cleaner and keep going via fronting.

Which happens to be a serious criminal offence if detected (but isn't detected often)

Surprise UK raid of Cambridge Analytica delayed: Nobody expects the British information commissioner!

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Powers of entry without warrant

"Whether the ICO is clued up enough to know these sorts of techniques is another thing..."

The ICO is very clued up.

You should be asking why the ICO has been so reluctant to take action until its hand was forced by being publicly dragged backwards through a hedge a few times and who stands to benefit most from them bolloxing up the ensuing non-investigation

Alan Brown Silver badge

"Rather more likely is that the ICO hurridly wrote a search application and threw it before the judge, and a discussion went something like this:-"

The ICO has been very pointedly ignoring CA's antics for the last 2 years until the C4 "expose" gave it no choice but to be seen to be taking action.

But the conversation is likely to have been close to that described.

Seagate's HAMR to drop in 2020: Multi-actuator disk drives on the way

Alan Brown Silver badge

" what the hell do they need all that enormous storage for?"

4k porn videos

Allegedly.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: And the band played on!

"The best we can hope for with HAMR is very slow IO and 10X the number of racks to hold a given capacity."

Not to mention 200x the power consumption.

Uber breaks self-driving car record: First robo-ride to kill a pedestrian

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Sticky rubber bodywork

"bodywork which is soft and squidgy but doesn't bounce impactees across the road "

It's where NCAP testing has been pointing for the last decade.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: WEAR WHITE AT NIGHT

Whte makes you more visible, but only from about 20 metres or so.

Those little reflective patches on the back of sneakers can be seen from 60 metres and are attention getting because they flash (as do ankle reflectors)

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Who sets the speed?

" When the Volvo's speedometer was showing 220kph, the Viggen was showing 200kph..."

My car _speedo_ shows about 10% higher than actual speed (reported by GPS)

The ODB reported speed matches the GPS speed.

IE: what's on the meter is deliberately reading high to encourage the hooman to stay below the speed limit.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Turkey was this way.... not sure it it still is

It's not true in Turkey.

In a lot of countries the driver is fully responsible for ALL your medical costs and as those are very high they will try to ensure that if they hit you, that they kill you as this is much cheaper to pay off - to the point that many drivers will reverse back over someone they ran over to ensure that they finish them off.

In many "less developed" countries a driver who is silly enough to stop and try to help someone he's run over will be beaten to death by bystanders.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Didn't see that coming

"It is more likely that it was the cyclist that made the mistake."

Virtually all road crashes require AT LEAST 2 (usually 3-4) or more serious errors to be committed before they can occur.

In this case:

1: The pedestrian crossed at an unsafe position

2: The pedestrian crossed without paying attention to oncoming traffic

3: The vehicle driver failed to notice the pedestrian on the median strip and prepare to take action if necessary or move into another lane

4: The vehicle driver failed to take emergency avoiding action when the pedestrian showed intent to move into its path

A human might have noticed the lady some distance off and decided to move to another lane. This is a fairly common preemptive move that the robot programmers hadn't considered.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Clear cut...

"Alan, you seem to have more information than the rest of us. How did you know the Uber car didn't slow down for the pedestrian?"

TBH, I don't, but the statements being made make it clear that thew pedestrian was in a "non-allowed" position and made an "unexpected" move.

That, coupled with what I've seen of autonomous vehicle behaviour and the assumptions coded into it (which are limited by the cultural assumptions of humans and "road rules" without regard to the fact that we unconciously react to a bunch of other stimuli which tend to be "commonsense" such as "that pedestrian shouldn't be there, switch to high alert mode") lead me to believe that it simply wasn't coded to handle the situation and the minder wasn't paying attention until the victim had already bounced off the front of the vehicle - Google specifically modified their supervisory roles because they found the humans who were supposed to be paying attention were spending almost all of their time with eyes inside the cabin.

You can _never_ "assume" when driving and one of the most important assets about driving automation is that a robot should be paying 100% attention for anomalous items and potentially hazardous behaviour 100% of the time. Pedestrians shouldn't be on the freeway either, but it happens, as do deer. I don't want my robocar tangling with a 7 point stag because it doesn't recognise it as a hazard.

Cambridge Analytica CEO suspended – and that's not even the worst news for them today

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Why is data on Facebook wide open?

"This is why I am not on Facef*ck "

That doesn't matter, the scrapers have you anyway.

BOOM! Cambridge Analytica explodes following extraordinary TV expose

Alan Brown Silver badge

"Have any of the politicians invoked the "Think of the children!" line yet?"

If they do, remind them that Jimmy Saville always did.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Why are we only talking about the US Election ?

SCL is a trading identity of Cambridge Analytica,

Man who gave interviews about his crimes asks court to delete Google results

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: It'll be interesting...

"The danger is that this precedent is extended to the actual publishers of those articles having to remove them from their editorial history "

This much is already legally protected.

NT1 tried that first (and got slapped down) before going through Goo's removal process and being denied.

NT2 didn't bother and went straight for the legal jugular (which reading between the lines appears to be par for the course for this individual)

RTBF was never intended for these kinds of criminal convictions, but the law is not about justice, it's about who has the deepest pockets and can find the loopholes.

FBI raids home of spy sat techie over leak of secret comms source code on Facebook

Alan Brown Silver badge

"Maybe the agencies need to STOP ticking off their employees AND/OR start hiring people that are actually SUITED and psychologically PRE-DISPOSED to stable, sane personal lives!"

In order to do that, they'd have to stop hiring asshole managers. You sound like quite the exception.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: RDP connection from score system to home?

My WTF knob gets raised that you can GET from a secure system to the public Internet.

UK's London Gatwick Airport boasts of driverless vehicle trial

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: The mind boggles

"What could possibly go wrong ?"

I suspect we'll see the first time an unattended baggage cart gets sucked into an engine during pushback.

(It happens occasionally during manned pushbacks, but it's _very_ occasional)

British Level 4 driverless pods are whizzing along ... er, a London path

Alan Brown Silver badge

> On the topic of interacting with pedestrians and cyclists, he continued: "There are rules. Well, there should be but not everyone pays attention to that. Unpredictable things can happen and we need to be ready for that."

This is one of the things that Uber clearly has not taken on board.

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: One issue....

"Heavy loads" is relative.

Pavements will take pressures of up to 200kg or so. Cars are generally ok, 4wds and heavier vehicles are not - but a more compelling reason not to park on the bloody footpath is that it obstructs disabled users who frequently aren't able to move onto the road due to the curb.

weight damage is one of the reasons parking a HGV on a footpath is a higher level parking offence (3 points on licence) anywhere in the UK, not just in London.

Anyone fancy testing the 'unlimited' drive writes claim on Nimbus Data's 100TB whopper SSD?

Alan Brown Silver badge

Re: Where's your bottleneck?

" If it's a standard controller-based array, the controller will run out of performance before your drives do"

if you're going to spend the money to attack this, then you're better off building a ZFS based system, not something based on a RAID controller.