* Posts by John Robson

5237 publicly visible posts • joined 19 May 2008

Boris Johnson's mad hydrogen for homes bubble bursts

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Capacity

You can get heat pumps which will output north of 16kW of heat... if you're losing more than that then you have a serious issue, or a *very* large house (at which point a pair of pumps might be a reasonably option) or you should actually install windows and doors rather than just leaving gaping holes in your property.

A flow temp of 50 degrees will require non microbore pipework to your radiators, but assuming a 20 degree room temperature then you've still got a better thermal gradient radiator-room than room-external with an outside temp of negative 10 - which is not at all common across the vast majority of the UK.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Capacity

Ah yes - because the heat from a heat pump leaves the house faster than the heat from a boiler.

If you have leaky and/or poorly insulated buildings then you'll just need a larger heat pump, but the energy saving will actually be larger (since you would have thrown an enormous amount of gas at it).

Of course the better solution is to insulate and eliminate draughts, and then to install a smaller heat pump.

Boilers take up valuable space, usually *inside* space, which is at more of a premium than roof/alley/wall space for a heat pump.

They also make very annoying noises when running, because they are a machine... and that's what machines do.

Thousands of Teslas recalled over brake fluid bug

John Robson Silver badge

We really do need a new name

For these "required updates" as opposed to a "recall" because they aren't actually recalling anything.

In the same way M$ computers aren't "recalled" each patch Tuesday.

Intel's 14th-gen Raptor Lake Refresh turns turbos up to 6GHz, gives i7 an E-core bump

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Remember when a 200MHz clock increase was something worthwhile?

I remember when 15MHz was sufficient that it had to be turned *down* via a button on the front of the case in order for games to run at a reasonable speed.

iPhone 15 Pro Max users report seeing ghostly OLED apparitions

John Robson Silver badge

Re: the iDud ?

I'm considering buying a 13 to upgrade my current daily driver... it would displace an 8 from the youngest offspring.

The 8 has now dropped from "latest" OS to security updates only, the previous gen got their last updates in July, so I've got some months to consider the upgrade.

The bigger issue is that the 13/14 are basically the same phone - satellite SOS and crash detection aren't exactly deal breakers for many - that one additional GPU and "photonic engine" don't really feel like significant upgrades either. Oh, I just spotted the bluetooth upgrade from 5 to 5.3... be still my beating heart.

Going to the 15 we then have... one generation newer chip, updated cameras, and a (noticeably) brighter screen - more reasonable upgrades, but a 33% increase in base cost (over the 13).

So... the 15 will sell, but it will sell more when it's no longer the flagship, with pricing to hurtmatch.

Europe mulls open sourcing TETRA emergency services' encryption algorithms

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Problem?

Quite - that doesn't mean that all drugs should be legalised though (and obviously there is a wide category of what "legal" actually represents).

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Problem?

I rather suspect you want certain drugs legalised rather than all drugs.

There will always be something illegal available, and the dealers in that would benefit in the same way drug dealers would.

Apple and Lenovo are dropping the ball for visually impaired users

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Whateve

"So what disabilities did they consider?"

Telling a disabled person that you're offering a disability friendly service, when they have already tried (and often failed) to use it is.... well, I'll not go there.

Can open source be saved from the EU's Cyber Resilience Act?

John Robson Silver badge

Re: GB left the EU

What are you smoking?

NASA reschedules Boeing's first crewed Starliner flight for mid-April 2024

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Intriguing....

He's not blessed, he's a very naughty scientist.

Forcing Apple to allow third-party app stores isn't enough

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Nitpick...

Whilst technically true, it probably depends on how you count benefits.

The ONS publication "Effects of taxes and benefits on UK household income: financial year ending 2022" splits out direct and indirect (VAT and other duties) taxation.

"The proportion of people living in households receiving more in benefits than they paid in taxes decreased from 55.0% to 53.8% in FYE 2022."

If I look closely at figure 5 (which compares not deciles, but dodeciles (is that even a word?)) then it looks like the bottom two fifths of the population get more in *cash* benefits than they pay in indirect and direct taxation combined.

I can't find the raw data, but it looks like the third "fifth" get more in cash and indirect benefits than they pay in tax, it's not until the fourth and top "fifths" that the taxation significantly exceeds the cash & indirect benefits.

So I'm reasonably comfortable that the 40% is close enough for a discussion - not saying it's 40 rather than 39, but it's overwhelmingly likely more than 30...

John Robson Silver badge

Re: It's not whether the App Store is good or bad...

"You also don't have free medical care, there is no such thing."

Well actually - it's free at point of use. There is no correlation between what someone pays and the care they receive.

This means that, to all intents and purposes healthcare is absolutely free to the 40% of adults who don't pay tax, and to all those children who don't either.

Yes - it means that those who do pay tax are funding a civilised service for a civilised country.

The danger is that it is being controlled politically by people who think they can profit from selling it off, as they did other national infrastructure.

Elon Musk's ambitions for Starship soar high while reality waits on launchpad

John Robson Silver badge

Re: A brief look back

That was an article pre Falcon9

Nukes, schmukes – fuel cells could power future datacenters

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Re: As AI use continues to grow, the race to find alternative ways to power datacenters accelerates

Oh dear - the cap was never on the bill, but on the unit rates.

John Robson Silver badge

Don't even need a pipeline - the sun does the conversion for us, and beams us that energy in a format we can already capture and use.

John Robson Silver badge

I strongly suspect most providers would rather be generating electricity to be used later than not generating at all...

The point is that the energy generated *which would otherwise be curtailed* is free (since although you're paying for it you're also saving money on both not paying for shutdown and for not having to buy energy later - since it's being returned from storage)

There is a cost of storage, and there are technical challenges with hydrogen, but those are at least technically resolvable in a large scale static setup, in a way that they aren't for millions of small scale installations, many of which would be mobile. The cost of paying for the energy and the storage has to be less than the cost of paying for curtailment *and* the cost of purchasing energy at times of high demand... but that's where the accountants come in.

John Robson Silver badge

"Efficiency of the whole process is ~40%, from electricity in to electricity out, so it has to be on the pretense that excess, otherwise-curtailed wind power is 'free'.

But at the moment, wind generators get lots of money in subsidies when they are told to shut down. So is the excess energy really 'free'?"

It's better than free... rather than paying people a premium to not generate electricity you pay them less than that to generate the electricity... you also then get to *not* pay someone else to burn crap later on.

Blockchain biz goes nuclear: Standard Power wants to use NuScale reactors for DCs

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Whose paying for waste disposal?

"The open dirty secret about Nuclear power is Nuclear waste. The US has literally thousands of tonnes of unsafely stored waste and super fund sites."

~90 thousand tons... which isn't "unsafely stored" it's stored in casks which are sufficiently shielded that radiation measured whilst leaning up against them is lower than the natural background (because half the background radiation is blocked by that same shielding). The amount of waste increases by ~2 thousand tons a year, from ~800TWh of generation.

That much (the annual production) fly ash is generated by coal power stations generating just 20GWh* of electricity - and I'm completely ignoring any waste that goes up the chimney - and fly ash is well known to be a concentrated source of radioactive material - and since it is completely unshielded it actually releases more radiation than a nuclear plant (MWh for MWh).

So for 2000 tons of fly ash, which releases more radioactivity to the environment you get 20GWh of electricity.

For the same amount of waste you get 40,000 times as much energy, and less release of radiation to the environment.

Of course there is also the minor inconvenience (TM) of climate change to consider.

*

2018 figures suggest that in the US:

1PWh of coal generation

102 million tons of fly ash

So that's ~ 51,000 times more fly ash than nuclear waste -> 1PWh/51,000 = 20GWh

Ford, BMW, Honda to steer bidirectional EV charging standard

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Reduced battery life

"It is also a waste of energy compared with a Powerwall type solution. You can apportion some of the car battery's weight to V2G and it is not efficient to be lugging that around with you."

Or you look at it the other way around - you have a large battery because you wanted it to make 5 journeys a year easier... and for 23 hours a day 360 days a year it's just parked doing nothing.

Now you can use that battery as a whole house UPS, giving you several days of "normal" running, or a week or more "reduced load" running from an asset you are paying for anyway.

V2G is a different sum game from V2H, but the same applies - you're not committing that battery to "nothing but V2G", you're using it for driving long journeys and then running an induction stove whilst camping, or your house when you get home. Typical cars need ~5kW/day on average in the UK, so 360 days a year your 50kW EV battery has a 90% reserve - maybe assume that a car only moves 50% of days, then you still have an 80% reserve. Reserve that you might reasonably want to be there for a few days a year - but why not have the ability to use it for the rest of the year.

John Robson Silver badge
Facepalm

Re: So you have money to buy or replace your car more regularly

15k discharge cycles - that's conservatively 60kWh * 15,000 cycles = 900 MWh of arbitrage.

We drive an EV, and are fairly heavy domestic users, and we use a bit shy of 9MWh a year - so your theoretical vehicle has done *way more* than a century's worth of work (three centuries of an ofgem "typical" UK household).

A 9kWh battery sees us through basically every day (a small handful of days since February have had peak import here - we're approaching the point where increased use, though things like more oven cooked meals, and diminishing PV generation (a mere 2.5kWp) will take us back into peak usage for a small amount of each day. So we'd be looking at a week for each charge cycle in reality, the 15k cycles is then looking like three hundred years for a heavy domestic user.

That 900MWh of arbitrage is also going to have netted the user an amount of money over the years. Even at just 10p/kWh arbitrage rate (and mine is *far* higher than that on average) that's £90k.

If we assume that 2k cycles is more reasonable then divide all those numbers by 7.5 (13 years of heavy domestic or 40+years for a typical household and £12k in arbitrage costs).

And now your 300 mile Tesla "only" has a 240 mile range.

Just for giggles... your 5 year Tesla has had an *average* power flow of 41kW... or 180A at 230V AC.

One with 2k cycles has 5.5kW (24A) which is at least technically acheivable - if completely ridiculous.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Battery sharing?

"Not to mention, finding the battery drained right when you want to go out because the power company decided to use your juice during the day."

So you still don't want to set a reserve level on your battery?

Nothing like holding up straw men as hard as you can because you know that you're asserting a pretty daft position.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: management options that'll restrict EV charging to "grid-friendly" times of day.

So you didn't set your car to "always keep 20kWh reserve"?

Well, more fool you.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Do not want

So you're choosing to curtail production rather than sell the excess to, for example, cover your standing charge.

Why would you not want to sell something that you are producing and cannot use?

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Battery sharing?

Yes recharge cycles affect battery life - but we're talking about a) getting paid for it and b) 0.05C charging

You're not going to kill an EV battery by using it as a grid supplement.

Charge cycle for a 50kWh battery would normally net ~200 miles

To run that cycle as grid export would take ~7 hours continuous full rate export

Let's assume you use 50% of the battery as arbitrage each day, knowing you want the other 50% for driving - that's 100*365 miles in a year or 36k miles a year. So after three years you've done 110k miles of *extremely* gentle charge cycles.

You've also been paid for 9MWh of electricity, and imported 9MWh. Depending on your provider, you might get paid for that capturing surplus generation as well as paid to provide at times of peak demand - an arbitrage rate of 20p would net you nearly 2 grand.

And you still don't need a new battery... you know why - what happens to a battery that's done 200k miles? Well, it has slightly less range than it used to, but still plenty for your daily driving needs, or if not yours then someone elses.

John Robson Silver badge

He really does say some dumb stuff

"I don't think very many people are going to want to use bidirectional charging, unless you have a Powerwall, because if you unplug your car, your house goes dark, and this is extremely inconvenient,"

More inconvenient than the house going dark when you have 60+kWh of stored energy in a convenient box?

Besides which, at the point at which you're umnplugging the car - you're probably leaving the house.

Use that LED to indicate that the house is drawing power from the car, then it's not a surprise when you unplug.

Such a dumb reason to not put V2G on their AC inverter.

Why can't datacenter operators stop thinking about atomic power?

John Robson Silver badge

>> Because they have the resources to actually overcome those challenges in the pursuit of cheap power to feed their habit.

> But they don't.

These companies have very deep pockets indeed Apple would be the eighth richest country in the world, MS the twelfth, Amazon the fourteenth....

They really do have the resources to develop something like this, not only to reduce their own power bill, but also to sell the technology to competitors and grids across the world.

They'd also see a significant boost in their corporate image.

I'm not holding my breath - but they're some of the few places where the desire and the funds could come together relatively easily.

John Robson Silver badge

"But nobody is interested in funding that properly or overcoming the engineering challenges, because you can't make bombs out of it at the end."

And that's the big hope of these massive consumers wanting to build their own SMR/micro reactors.

Because they have the resources to actually overcome those challenges in the pursuit of cheap power to feed their habit.

John Robson Silver badge

Because they have a peculiar load profile

Which is well suited to the concepts of SMRs or micro reactors.

It makes a good deal of sense for them to do this, and we can all reap the benefits.

Linux interop is maturing fast… thanks to a games console

John Robson Silver badge

Re: "Solution: new Linux features to fill in the missing gaps"

"But in Win11, doing this breaks the OS."

And yet this is somehow an improvement over versions which didn't need an internet connection to whore you out without your informed consent?

(I get that there is a difference between the OS and the specific UI you run on it - when I ran linux desktops the distinction is obvious - but the choice doesn't exist with M$, so the UI is part of the OS (since they can't be separated).

The same is true for MacOS, and there are some really crap UI decisions on show there, but the OS has a firmer foundation than M$...

John Robson Silver badge

Re: interesting Until....

"NB: "Flatpak". No C. Makes it much easier to Google."

Until the AlphaGoo decides to autocorrectscrewup and search for IKEA instead (other shops are available)

John Robson Silver badge

Re: "Solution: new Linux features to fill in the missing gaps"

"Windows, under all the marketing BS, is a very good OS."

Hmm - it would have to have improved a *long way* from when I last used it for that to be the case.

I'll be fair and point out that that's probably 15 years now - but I'll also point out that my daughter has a surface go for school (MS have almost always done good hardware) and the software is flakey when compared with the macs in the house (a bit unfair comparing it with the linux servers).

It's less flakey than I remember windows being, so there has been some improvement.

Mastodon makes a major move amid Musk's multiple messes

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Still need a copy editor...

In which case switch tense properly...

"we've added progress indicators to guide people through the multi-step sign-up process and [we] rewrote copy and labels to be more intuitive"

I still think having whole sentence in the same case by replacing 'rewrote' with 'rewritten' is the cleanest correction.

John Robson Silver badge

Still need a copy editor...

"we've added progress indicators to guide people through the multi-step sign-up process and rewrote copy and labels to be more intuitive"

Pretty sure that should say rewritten rather than "rewrote".

"We've rewrote copy and labels" is not proper english like what my grammar tawt me

Bids for ISS demolition rights are now open, NASA declares

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Orbital inclination

The likelihood of much of it reaching the ground at the targetted location is infinitesimally small.

Launch a tungsten telephone pole and let's talk again.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: How much

The roadster was never meant to be anything other than a publicity stunt though - this is talking about useful deorbiting work.

Though given the oft quoted assertion that the exhaust gave useful thrust... we just need to feed the air intake (and ignore any of the other issues with working in a vacuum)

John Robson Silver badge

Re: How much

Erm the boosters can't make orbit, not even close. They are dropped because they are dead weight at that point, and if they weren't dropped none of it would make orbit.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: How much

The other thing I haven't bothered to calculate is an appropriate deltaV budget....

John Robson Silver badge

How much

fuel, and what engine, could you fit into a hollowed out dragon capsule?

You shouldn't be able to buy devices that tamper with diesel truck emissions on eBay, says DoJ

John Robson Silver badge

Re: This from a country

So you're saying it *is* your fault (personally) that school children across your daft country have to have "live shooter" drills, and get shot so often it barely makes the news any more.

Raspberry Pi 5 revealed, and it should satisfy your need for speed

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Same Footprint

You can buy a compute module and a carrier if you like...

The home Wi-Fi upgrade we never asked for is coming. The one we need is not

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Too pessimistic

Soil pipe - so a pretty big hole.

Mind you my first house was a concrete construction - and the aggregate they used was flint... I was going to chain drill holes for a dryer vent... and by the time I was a couple of inches into the wall with the first hole... the hole was about 4" across and was well lit internally from the sparks off the flint at the tip of the drill.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Too pessimistic

"In some cases, definitely some sort of Friday afternoon brick with neutron star density."

I recognise the pain - it took three diamond tipped core drills to get through the first ~1.5mm of our external brick... that third bit then managed the rest of that brick and the entirety of the inner brick.

Microsoft worker accidentally exposes 38TB of sensitive data in GitHub blunder

John Robson Silver badge

Re: How long?

"With any kind of co-ordinated and automated effort, you could probably pull that off Azure in under an hour, tops."

You're assuming Azure could feed it to you that quickly.

Starlink speeds ahead in the satellite race but rivals aren't starstruck just yet

John Robson Silver badge

Re: Why I stopped using Starlink

"Starlink would NOT let me run a VPN to protect my financial data"

I call bull.

No issues running a VPN over starlink, besides which you're presumably not rely solely on a vpn for encrypted financial data.

John Robson Silver badge

Remarkably good and consistent - I'd broken down my analysis on here before

Power grids tremble as electric vehicle growth set to accelerate 19% next year

John Robson Silver badge

Re: GridWatch

Not aware of many lockdowns in 2023 yet.

But yes, covid does seem to have given us a boost in the ongoing decline of mileage.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: GridWatch

Many were, but explosion risks are still explosion risks, and they happened.

Yes, some still happen.

You know - we should probably stop pumping explosive gases into houses, we could use other mechanisms to pump heat into buildings and food...

John Robson Silver badge

Re: For many of us, hybrids make more sense than BEVs

"Zero locally is good, but let's not pretend they're zero."

They're not zero at the moment, but there is no reason that much of the remote emissions can't be lowered further, and they are already substantially lower than ICE anyway.

Every time we add more low/zero carbon energy to the grid *every* EV improves, an ICE doesn't get that constant improvement.

John Robson Silver badge

Re: For many of us, hybrids make more sense than BEVs

Vehicle tax is paid on tailpipe emissions, so yes they do pay vehicle tax, it's just at zero rate (as it is for various other classes of vehicle).

You could break the law and still not end up as cheap as an EV:

Given that various of the chargers around here start at 20p/kWh - your red diesel isn't that cheap anyway:

"Our average Red Diesel price for today, Thursday 14th September 2023 is 85.56 pence per litre (excl. VAT)." (from boilerjuice)

So that's 85.56*1.05 = ~90p/ litre for your red diesel.

At an average UK diesel efficiency of 43mpg that's 9.5p/mile, carwow reckons the best available in the uk is 74mpg (peugeot 208) at 5.5p/mile.

Those local 20p chargers... they're 5p/mile

Charging at home, that's around 2p/mile (depending on tariff)

The free chargers, well let's think...

So no - even by breaking the law, you still don't get to the point where you can drive a diesel more cheaply than an EV.