back to article The nuclear launch button won't be pressed by a finger but by a bot

Nothing could hurry Cool Dave. Tall and taciturn, he would make his way around school between classes at his own pace. When he talked, he not so much spoke as delivered a quiet soliloquy in a thoughtful and deliberate manner. Cool Dave looked you in the eye. He spent time considering before answering questions. He never …

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  1. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the risk of both hackers and evil insiders a key reason missile launchers require turning two mechanical switches too far apart for a single person to both turn?

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      While the final action may be manual - are the messages that trigger it pre-determined from the (figurative?) push of the POTUS button?

      1. macjules

        Trump would never push the button - too much like manual work. Jared will do it for him, after of course receiving careful instructions from Putin via Sergei Kislyak.

    2. gryphon

      I seem to recall reading somewhere that Russia have a missile farm that can launch automatically with no human intervention if it detects certain things like a nuclear detonation over Moscow, seismic activity over a certain level which would denote same etc.

      i.e. A guaranteed retaliatory strike. One would hope that the computers making the launch decisions were isolated and unhackable but..

      Obviously this could be complete rubbish but somebody in Russia might have been watching Dr Strangelove at some point and had a lightbulb moment. :-D

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        You are sort'a correct

        AFAIK, when Russian missile forces go on the highest possible alert (something which requires presidential authorization nowdays and used to require politburo authorization), some of them move to an automated launch. What are the triggers - nobody knows.

        There was only one time in history when they were on that alert status - it was during Able Archer 83. The combined paranoya of Andropov, deployment of medium range Pershing missiles to Europe and NATO running exercises with participation of actual heads of state nearly got us an E.L.E. We should really thank providence that no earthquakes, meteor strikes or solar flares happened that week.

        1. Cuddles

          Re: You are sort'a correct

          "What are the triggers - nobody knows."

          They may not advertise it to the rest of the world, but I kind of hope someone knows. James Cameron made a documentary about how bad an idea it would be to leave that decision up to the computers.

        2. Anonymous Coward
          Anonymous Coward

          Re: You are sort'a correct

          "What are the triggers - nobody knows."

          I hope somebody did, or are you suggesting that, as was popular with ancient world dictators, when the system was finished the designers were executed so they couldn't repeat it?

          Ah well

          French President: "I have ten mistresses. Apparently I married one of them, but which? I don't know."

          American President: "I have ten heads of executive agencies. Apparently one of them works for the KGB but which? Nobody can tell me."

          Secretary of Politburo of the Communist Party of the USSR: "I have ten trusted advisers. Apparently one of them is competent, but which? Even he doesn't know."

          Spot which part of this old joke seems to have come true.

        3. Chris G

          Re: You are sort'a correct

          At that time, I was running around a wet rainy Denmark with a rifle full of blanks on a NATO exercise. We were told there wer something like half a million Russian marines off the coast of Poland as a response to the strikes there and that Margaret Thatcher had said if the Russians made a wrong move we would be sent in to back the Poles.

          I suppose having a couple of hundred 7.62 blanks was marginally better than shouting BANG at them.

        4. Keven E

          Re: You are sort'a correct

          "There was only one time in history when they were on that alert status - "

          This guy seemed to be on the precipice... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vasili_Arkhipov

      2. Charles 9

        "I seem to recall reading somewhere that Russia have a missile farm that can launch automatically with no human intervention if it detects certain things like a nuclear detonation over Moscow, seismic activity over a certain level which would denote same etc."

        I think you're referring to the Dead Hand (aka Perimetr) system. No one really knows if it still exists or not since it's considered top secret by the Soviet and now Russian military.

      3. B*stardTintedGlasses

        I believe you are referring to this my good sir.

        Quite a good insight in this article into the "Dead Hand" system.

        http://uk.businessinsider.com/a-spherical-bunker-in-russia-was-the-most-secure-place-in-the-entire-cold-war-2015-3

        And simples:

        http://knowledgenuts.com/2014/03/26/dead-hand-russias-terrifying-doomsday-device/

        1. CustardGannet
          Terminator

          A message from Skynet :

          You, humans, are the weakest link.

          Goodbye.

    3. Gavin Chester

      See The Film Wargames

      While in the film the key switches were replaced as the humans were considered a possible weak link in the chain, its not a huge stretch to consider replacing the human with a box to do the work as its cheaper, and does as its told.

      1. Chz

        Re: See The Film Wargames

        Humans *are* the weak link in the chain, and the US certainly knows it and plans around it.

        As in, no you don't need enough weapons to nuke the entire world 3x over, but they know very well that in all probability something like half of their crews will never follow the order to launch. The whole point is that the people with the keys have to go through all sorts of tests to prove they're sane enough to be in command of weapons that can bring about Armageddon - and yet, no sane person could ever follow the order to launch.

        I'm sure it's been considered to replace the human element many times, but cooler heads have prevailed.

        1. TheProf
          Mushroom

          Re: See The Film Wargames

          "The whole point is that the people with the keys have to go through all sorts of tests to prove they're sane enough to be in command of weapons that can bring about Armageddon - and yet, no sane person could ever follow the order to launch."

          That needs a Catchy name or 22.

    4. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the risk of both hackers and evil insiders a key reason missile launchers require turning two mechanical switches too far apart for a single person to both turn?

      True, but that's what you have social engineering for. Apparently FBI's James Comey was misled into going public with the Hillary enquiry status by a fake email, which pretty much nuked (pardon the pun) Clinton's chances in the election.

      Given that some humans actually voted for Trump I think we can safely say they're not as safe as they are alleged to be either.

  2. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Own goal?

    Most of the nations that are likely to host the hackers who would do this are the ones that the missiles are aimed at by default, so any such hack wouldn't give much opportunity for post-launch gloating.

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: Own goal?

      IIRC It has been said that the religious right in the USA has a literal belief in the biblical prophesy of Armageddon. They believe it inevitable and see a Middle East conflict and a nuclear wipe out as necessary precursors to their achieving the heavenly Rapture.

      They wouldn't be the first in history to commit to a suicidal action for a religious/cult/nationalistic ideology.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Own goal?

        Don't forget all the radical Muslims seeking to summon the 12th Imam and so on. I think even Judaism has its version.

        1. Omgwtfbbqtime
          Unhappy

          Re: Own goal?

          I just plan on surviving the nuclear induced Fimbulwinter that will follow.

        2. Anonymous Coward
          Anonymous Coward

          Re: Own goal?

          "Don't forget all the radical Muslims seeking to summon the 12th Imam and so on. I think even Judaism has its version."

          I'm not aware that either religion has any mainstream group that believes in a catastrophic, civilisation-destroying, eschatological event. They just imagine that the Messiah/12th Imam will come and bring the reign of peace and justice for all. Daesh wants to start off by killing all non-Muslims or enslaving them, but that's just typical nationalist evil, no religious soup needed.

      2. CrazyOldCatMan Silver badge

        Re: Own goal?

        They wouldn't be the first in history to commit to a suicidal action for a religious/cult/nationalistic ideology

        Sometime it might be worth you reading GW Bush's rationalisation[1] for launching Gulf War 2[2]. The words "peace and safety" occur lots of times - which is one of the phrases used in the Bible to denote the end of times.

        [1] If he had any other than DT

        [2] And it wasn't just the desire to outwar his daddy.

  3. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    The only way to handle the threat of nuclear annihilation is with black humour***. Today's article is apparently lacking that essential - very depressing. Reminds me of the film "When the Wind Blows".

    *** Dr Strangelove

    *** "Duck & cover - and kiss your ass goodbye"

    1. Trilkhai

      I think you might be mixing up two versions of the nuclear instructions...

      1) One old edu video repeats the words "Duck…and cover!" in sync with kids/adults ducking low to the ground and covering their head/back with their coats.

      2) Some schools taught that if there was an incoming bomb, everyone should lean forward, lace their fingers behind their necks, and put their head between their knees — hence the "and kiss your ass goodbye." (Both parents in/near SF were taught that one.)

      1. Charles 9

        WHOOSH! It was intentional, as a dark joke, since ducking and covering isn't going to do much against a direct hit, thus the kiss your ass goodbye part.

        1. Richard 12 Silver badge

          Nothing anyone can do about a direct hit

          It was all about surviving a near miss.

  4. Admiral Grace Hopper

    Einstein A-Go-Go

    You'd better watch out, you'd better beware,

    Albert said that E = mc²

  5. Franco

    It's funny how the perception of art changes over the years as life starts to imitate it.

    When The Running Man came out it was seen as a fairly standard Sci-Fi action flick, by the mid 2000s it was starting to look like a prescient satire on the future of reality TV.

    Incidentally, although they didn't explicitly name Trump, Big Country predicted the future in 1991. The song was called Republican Party Reptile. Sample lyrics "he knows the surgeon's gonna keep his wife young", "he likes to play with the NRA and their toys". Well worth a listen.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Im4EFEDSUVI

    1. Charles 9

      Yet the film wasn't much like the original book as written by Stephen King under the pen name Richard Bachman.

      1. 2Nick3

        King also had a book under the Bachman name called "Rage," which described a school shooting incident, way before they were common.

        So is King predicting the future, or is he causing it? <glances warily at the dog/>

        1. Guus Leeuw

          Re 2nick3

          Dear sir,

          Can i assume that you have not read The Dark Tower?

          Regards,

          Guus

      2. Franco

        In another adaptation that is nothing like the book, the portrayal of media sensationalism in Starship Troopers is also not that far from the truth. The aforementioned Chris Morris did something similar in Brass Eye as well.

        Robert A. Heinlein's book inspired little but the title in the film, and the book is still considered overtly militaristic to the point of fascism by many, although remains on the recommended reading lists of many militaries.

        On a final note, the same director (Paul Verhoeven) also did a fine job skewering consumer culture in Robocop, the omission of which is just one of the many reasons the recent reboot was crap.

        1. Charles 9

          Heinlein keeps getting read because he still has some interesting ideas, such as not being allowed to vote before making a significant contribution to the country first (though in his case that universally meant serving in the military). Goes back to the roots of the original voting restrictions to landowners (people with actual skin in the game).

    2. Little Mouse

      "like a prescient satire on the future of reality TV"

      Max Headroom - 20 Minutes Into The Future showed us a clip that could have come straight from "Embarrassing Bodies", but titled "Dr Duncan's Symptom Video Show".

      1. lglethal Silver badge
        Trollface

        Does that mean we can blame the Simpsons for giving Donald Trump the idea of running for president back in 2000? (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZtparSnQhFc)

        1. Graham Dawson Silver badge

          They made that joke because he'd already run. He's run on and off since the 90s.

      2. Alistair Dabbs

        Embarrassing Bodies

        I wrote about this a while ago.

        1. Little Mouse

          Re: Embarrassing Bodies

          OMG - A tip of the hat (or a cock of the beaver) to you, sir.

          I watched Max again for the first time since the eighties only a couple of months ago. Looks like you were way ahead of me.

    3. I ain't Spartacus Gold badge

      Well of course the Bachman Books 'Running Man' is based on real events that happened in the 1920s/30s. They had these dancing endurance competitions (dance marathons), by the Great Depression people were so hungry and thus desperate to win that they'd would sometimes literally die on the dancefloor from exhaustion. There are stories of hotel staff just dragged off as if they'd fainted, and competition would carry on.

      Of course the Lawnmower Man is the story from that book that really got changed when they filmed it.

      On the same topic, I though Chris Morris was making satire of news programming in the 1990s. Apparently the industry thought he was making training manuals. Sometimes I see a headline and am convinced it must have been written by Morris.

      1. gryphon

        Dance marathon as seen in They Shoot Horses Don't They with Jane Fonda

    4. Robert Carnegie Silver badge

      Not future - history

      I don't remember whether in fact Nancy Reagan had a lot of plastic surgery, but a second wife has to work harder. I believe I recall a "Spitting Image" sketch where Ronnie was surprised when Nancy walked in with apparently two sets of front side ladybumps; she explained the lower ones were her knees, brought up along with everything else presumably but don't think about it.

      As an early work, Charlie Brooker made a web site called "TV Go Home" of fictional TV guide listings of increasingly awful programme ideas. Then entirely too many of them got made, but usually without credit.

      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TVGoHome

  6. GregC
    Thumb Up

    Why do they do it? All I can think of is that it must be something to do with the very nature of computing itself. If I went around saying I was a proctologist instead, I'm quite sure they wouldn't all be clamouring for me to stick my finger up their arses. At least, not without an appointment.

    I'm going to make this point next time someone asks me to "have a quick look at the computer".

    Have a bonus internet point for the Rage Against The Machine video too.

    1. Hank Waggenburger III
      Thumb Up

      Smell my finger?

      If I went around saying I was a proctologist instead, I'm quite sure they wouldn't all be clamouring for me to stick my finger up their arses

      Enquiringly minds and all... I conducted an experiment along these lines at the office this Friday afternoon. You won't believe what happened next.

      Icon for what I have been mostly doing today-->

  7. jake Silver badge

    We've already had a nuclear war.

    It was a trifle one sided, but it was a war, and nukes were involved.

    The next one, and people being people there WILL be a next one, won't be quite as benign. The trick is to move to one of two places: The back of beyond, or Ground Zero. In the first, hopefully you've found a place where the Jet Stream & miscellaneous eddy currents will conspire to keep the fallout away from your "victory" garden[0]. In the second, you are the fallout, and won't give a shit.

    Me, I'm more worried about earthquakes. Rogers Creek is just a couple hundred yards from where I type(o) ... But it's hardly something I lose sleep over.

    [0] And that you have enough ammo and know how to be able to harvest the chow ...

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: We've already had a nuclear war.

      "On the Beach" portrayed that situation. Even Australia wasn't far enough away from the conflict to avoid the literal fallout form the northern hemisphere.

      Long term survival would depend on there being no "nuclear winter" due to dust in the atmosphere for several years. The food chain would be totally disrupted even for self-sufficiency using surface resources.

    2. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      Re: We've already had a nuclear war.

      I never found the name of the books/radio show... but there was one on Radio 4 about such an event. There were only 2 groups of people to survive. Australia and one or two of the nuclear subs that were submerged at the time.

      Made for an interesting story (that I only caught one episode/chapter of :( ).

      PS, ah, both the comment above and Google found it! :) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Beach_(novel)

      (Edit) Though I'd assume in reality radiation would not be the risk (chernobyl city outside the facility is quiet "livable" in comparison) , but nuclear winter and food/society collapsing in the aftermath. So not as grim as the book would make out.

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: We've already had a nuclear war.

        "I never found the name of the books/radio show. [...]"

        Your description fits "On the Beach" exactly. Available as a book (1957) - also film (1959) on DVD and BlueRay. Also a TV adaptation (2000).

      2. thecornflake

        Re: We've already had a nuclear war.

        On the book subject there's also Down to a sunless sea following a passenger jet that's in the air when nuclear war breaks out. Be careful of reading spoilers of the ending online if you look it up though :)

    3. Adam 1

      Re: We've already had a nuclear war.

      Nah, the trick is to be far enough away from ground zero that you don't get smote but near enough that you still get superpowers*

      * I would offer credit except I can't remember who originally made that joke.

  8. Pen-y-gors

    Public sector?

    "They struggle to get sufficient numbers of specialised cyber experts to help – instead relying on hordes of lobbyists, pseudo-experts and opportunists"

    The problem is that what they need are cyber-experts, who may or may not exist, but they're only allowed to offer them peanuts. What they're actually allowed to get are a bunch of useless merchant bankers from PwC etc who will wander in, look around, tell you water is wet, and today is Tuesday (approx), sell you some inappropriate software that they just happen to make, and give you a bill for a couple of million squids. But that's worth it, because they're consultants

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